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#1
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Re: Critique this AA hand for me
[ QUOTE ]
I don't find the turn anywhere near scary enough not to bet, but his river outs to a win or a split make checking plenty scary. If you get CRed, I don't even consider folding without a very clear read. [/ QUOTE ] Interesting, I actually thought the exact opposite on this hand. I wasn't too worried about him catching cards if he was behind, and I was afraid I was well behind if he check-raised. Let me ask you, what range of hands do you put him on? I put him on AA, KK, QQ, AKs, AKo, JJ, 1010, maybe AQs...I'm alraedy behind a majority of these combos, especially considering that I hold two of the aces If I do get checkraised, you are right, I do have to call down. So I'm losing 3BB the majority of the time here if behind, which I think I am a majority of the time |
#2
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Re: Critique this AA hand for me
It's hard to give a range to a total unknown, but let's assume at least he's a somewhat rational non-LAG, and he has a similar opinion of you.
I'd add 99, any AQ, AJ and KQ (more weight on suited, but unsuited is far from unreasonable), and JTs. I don't see this as a "way ahead/way behind" sitution. It's more like a "somewhat ahead/decently behind" situation. |
#3
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Re: Critique this AA hand for me
[ QUOTE ]
Let me ask you, what range of hands do you put him on? I put him on AA, KK, QQ, AKs, AKo, JJ, 1010, maybe AQs...I'm alraedy behind a majority of these combos, especially considering that I hold two of the aces [/ QUOTE ] Correct me if I'm wrong because I don't know much about pokerstove, but if we take a look at the results ddubois gave us: Hand 1: 58.2860 % 54.73% 03.55% { AdAh } Hand 2: 41.7140 % 38.16% 03.55% { TT+, AQs+, AKo } We have 58% equity here right? Doesn't this mean we gotta bet this turn? |
#4
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Re: Critique this AA hand for me
It's not that simple when we take into account that betting will often mean that you lose 2 bets when behind and gain 1 (or none) when ahead.
Lost Wages |
#5
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Re: Critique this AA hand for me
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I like it. The only capping hand that you are beating is AK. [/ QUOTE ] Man, no way - this is not full ring. At least AQ and TT caps. TT calls the flop because of the gutshot and the set outs, and TT picks up an OESD on the turn, so you have a value bet aganist both those hands. I agree if you get CRed it sucks (although AK will CR), but I checking the turn looks like monsters under the bed to me. |
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