Another SB/BB battle - play for it all? - $200 NL

[poincaraux]

[ QUOTE ]
One last try, do you think this range is good, AA-JJ,99,77,66,K9s,A9s,AKs,AQs,KQs?

How about this, AA-JJ,99,77,66,K9s,A9s?

Or this, AA-JJ,99,77,66,A9s?

What about AA-JJ,99,77,66?

[/ QUOTE ]
Did you really mean this reply for me? I've tried to be pretty clear in this thread: I'm good at figuring out how we stack up against various ranges. I'm a newbie, though, and I'm not nearly as good at putting the villain on one of those ranges.

For what it's worth, assuming that the suited hands have to match one of the cards on the flop, here are my guesses: the first should be pretty close to 40:60. The second one should be more like 35:65 (i still don't like bad guy having K9s here), and the last one should be more like 30:70. Results:

vs. AA-JJ,99,77,66,K9s,A9s,AKs,AQs,KQs: 38:62
vs. AA-JJ,99,77,66,K9s,A9s: 30:70
vs. AA-JJ,99,77,66,A9s: 27:73
(removing other hands here just makes it worse)

so we're worse than i expected .. but at least my intuition was good enough to fold when required here.