Big Oil warns of coming energy crunch via TV ads, asking for help

[wacki]

http://www.energybulletin.net/7676.html

Big Oil warns of coming energy crunch

by Carola Hoyos

International oil companies have advertising campaigns warning that the world is running out of oil and calling on the public to help the industry do something about it.

Most of the executives ofThe world's five largest energy groups generally maintain that oil projects are viable with the price at which they test a project’s viability is within the around $20 a barrel. range. But their advertising and some of their companies' own statistics appear to tell a different story.

ExxonMobil, the world's largest energy group, said in a recent advertisement: “The world faces enormous energy challenges. There are no easy answers.” And the companies' statistics back up the sentiment. In The Outlook for Energy: A 2030 View, the Irving, Texas-based company forecasts that oil production outside the Organisation ofthe Petroleum Exporting Countries, the cartel that controls three-quarters of the world's oil reserves, will reach its peak in just five years.

Chevron, the US's second-largest energy group, sends a similar message, but goes two steps further. “One thing is clear: The era of easy oil is over. We call upon scientists and educators, politicians and policy-makers, environmentalists, leaders of industry and each one of you to be part of reshaping the next era of energy. Inaction is not an option,” was the message in a recent advertising campaign.

The company has even set up a website, www.willyoujoinus.com, warning of the pressures of high demand and fewer fields and offering a forum of discussion.

One senior executive at an oil company not involved in the advertising campaigns speculated that his counterparts were attempting to buy themselves some slack to go after the messier, more expensive, dirty oil. Another executive said it may buy some sympathy for the difficulty many companies are having in growing developing their production and reserves.

Total, the French oil company, this week made the latest acquisition in theCanada's vast Athabasca oil sands, where companies are extracting extra tar-like bitumen from sand in an expensive and environmentally tricky mining operation.

Yves-Marie Dilibard, Total's director of communications, explaining the logic behind its campaign, said: “Tomorrow's energy needs mean developing new energy techniques, going further and deeper in the search of oil and gas. That's at the heart of Total's work today.”

Royal Dutch Shell and BP, Europe's biggest energy groups, have recently felt the effects of venturing into more difficult frontiers. Shell was forced by environmentalists to reroute a pipeline that threatened rare whales in Russia's arctic and last month warned of a $10bn (€8bn, £5.6bn) cost overrun at its Sakhalin project there. Meanwhile, BP battled with a platform in the deep waters of the US Gulf of Mexico that was severely bent by hurricane Dennis.

In its advertisements BP touts new energy alternatives, while ExxonMobil, which has unapologetically abandoned alternatives that have not been profitable, says in one advertisement: “Wishful thinking must not cloud real thinking.”

But answering the concerns of the consumer, even about the possible shortage of oil, is not the primary job of an oil company. Its most important stakeholders are its stock shareholders, some of whom have been left perplexed by the advertisements after hearing a very n altogether different message at last week's earnings conferences.

Neil McMahon, analyst at Sanford Bernstein, said: “We think these messages are at odds with the comments normally made to investors regarding future oil prices and the ability of producers to meet demand, and we wonder if perhaps those messages are actually a better indicator of the companies' thinking.”

Consumers are also not the primary concern of an even more important group: the national oil companies of producing countries, such as Saudi Arabia. The kingdom has as its first priority its growing population and the stability of the regime. This – together with the increased difficulty of finding new oil – is part of the reason for the capacity crunch, analysts and executives agree.
No amount of advertising is likely to change that dynamic.

[adios]

FWIW I've read that Exxon-Mobil expects less production next year and isn't going to ramp up exploration and cap ex spending a great deal. They're sitting on a lot of cash but from what I read they're not all that interested in making acquisitions either. I would think that if they expected these prices to continue or even go higher they'd be trying to acquire more assets. My take is that they're worried that the Saudi's will ramp up production and the price of oil will drop thus putting projects where oil production costs are higher at risk. We'll see what they actually do though.

[ThaSaltCracka]

I think this is all a conspiracy by the Oil companies to warrant increasing prices. "Oil supplies are dwindling, and with demand increasing, we have to keep prices where they are. Please try to use less oil". As if Americans will use less oil....pfffffffffttt.

[ QUOTE ]
I think this is all a conspiracy by the Oil companies to warrant increasing prices.

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you think that there is an unlimited amount of crude in the world? Economists predicted this crunch years ago. Oil profits are not the reason for the increase in prices. There is so little supply and so much demand.

[ThaSaltCracka]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I think this is all a conspiracy by the Oil companies to warrant increasing prices.

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you think that there is an unlimited amount of crude in the world? Economists predicted this crunch years ago. Oil profits are not the reason for the increase in prices. There is so little supply and so much demand.

[/ QUOTE ]No [censored] its not an unlimited supply. Do you want to inform me that gold doesn't grow on trees as well?

There are literally hundreds of thousands of studies out there pertaining to the worlds supply of oil. All of the studies contradicts other studies. Yeah, we will run out of oil, but will it be 5 years, 10, 20, 50? No one really knows for sure. And who is to say that withing 5 years, scientists haven't discovered something better?

I think this all some doomsday, capitilistic bulllshit.

[ QUOTE ]
No [censored] its not an unlimited supply. Do you want to inform me that gold doesn't grow on trees as well?

There are literally hundreds of thousands of studies out there pertaining to the worlds supply of oil. All of the studies contradicts other studies. Yeah, we will run out of oil, but will it be 5 years, 10, 20, 50? No one really knows for sure. And who is to say that withing 5 years, scientists haven't discovered something better?

I think this all some doomsday, capitilistic bulllshit.

[/ QUOTE ]

Look that's very profound, but it's not doomsday capitalistic bullshit. It's basic economics that as the supply dwindles, prices will rise. Add to the equation the enormous amount of crude that China and other rapidly developing countries need, and you have an impending disaster.

I think that we will run out of oil by 2050.

[ThaSaltCracka]

yeah I agree, I just think the Oil companies are full of [censored].

[ptmusic]

Sounds like a big media campaign to accomplish two goals:

1. "Don't blame us for the high prices!"

2. "Tell our buddy George and his oil tycoon government appointees to keep the policies going in our favor!"

-ptmusic

Why the F would anyone want to help them. Let them use all there billions to fix there on problems. If they really wanted to help they would spend there money on a massiave Nationwide transportation system.

[natedogg]

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Economists predicted this crunch years ago.

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Noooo they didn't. Most economists will tell you they don't expect oil to ever get too expensive. Ever.

There's plenty of reasons why.

natedogg