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#1
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Can variance be this bad really?
OK, just got off the worst session in my life (-80BB). Every time I had a hand, and good hands at that, the board paired or flushed, no joke. To prove it, these are the stats for big PP for the session:
AA- 1 for 3 KK- 1 for 3 QQ- 0 for 5 JJ= 0 for 2 2 for 13? Unreal. Should I have quit, or does variance really run that bad? Any tricks to beat this kind of crap (say play on multiple sites so when you are running bad on one go to another)? I just couldn't believe what I was seeing and don't want to ever see it/have a night like this one again. |
#2
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Re: Can variance be this bad really?
it gets much much worse. expect downswings in the range of the mid hundreds of bbs to happen in the future.
just brush it off and keep playing. |
#3
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Re: Can variance be this bad really?
[ QUOTE ]
OK, just got off the worst session in my life (-80BB). Every time I had a hand, and good hands at that, the board paired or flushed, no joke. To prove it, these are the stats for big PP for the session: AA- 1 for 3 KK- 1 for 3 QQ- 0 for 5 JJ= 0 for 2 2 for 13? Unreal. Should I have quit, or does variance really run that bad? Any tricks to beat this kind of crap (say play on multiple sites so when you are running bad on one go to another)? I just couldn't believe what I was seeing and don't want to ever see it/have a night like this one again. [/ QUOTE ] Meh. That's the game you play. If you don't like it, you should stop playing. (And variance can give much harder whoopings than what you just had.) |
#4
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Re: Can variance be this bad really?
[ QUOTE ]
(say play on multiple sites so when you are running bad on one go to another)? . [/ QUOTE ] What the Christ? |
#5
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Re: Can variance be this bad really?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] (say play on multiple sites so when you are running bad on one go to another)? . [/ QUOTE ] What the Christ? [/ QUOTE ] The random number generator at Ultimate Bet will obviously be aware of the fact that he's running bad at Party and rig everything so that he wins with his big pocket pairs. |
#6
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Re: Can variance be this bad really?
80 isn't that rare, in fact pretty commone at higher limits which are more aggressive
if its bothering you stop for the night, the games will be there tomorrow, when you have a clear head |
#7
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Re: Can variance be this bad really?
Jesus Christ.
Your sample size is way too small. |
#8
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Re: Can variance be this bad really?
[ QUOTE ]
OK, just got off the worst session in my life (-80BB). [/ QUOTE ] I'm pretty sure it gets worse. |
#9
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Re: Can variance be this bad really?
variance can be this bad...
Party Poker 0.5/1 Hold'em (9 max, 9 handed) converter Preflop: Hero is SB with 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. UTG calls, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, MP3 calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Hero completes, BB checks. Flop: (4 SB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font> Hero checks, BB checks, UTG checks, MP3 checks. Turn: (2 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font> Hero checks, BB checks, UTG checks, MP3 checks. River: (2 BB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises</font>, UTG folds, MP3 calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB caps</font>, MP3 folds, Hero calls. Final Pot: 12 BB EDIT: lost to a 34o flush, obviously. ive also had aces cracked...are you ready?...3 times on the same table in 15 hands. wtf? not a bueno noche. |
#10
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Re: Can variance be this bad really?
Or this bad:
Party Poker 0.5/1 Hold'em (8 handed) converter Preflop: Hero is BB with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, SB calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, UTG+1 folds, MP1 calls, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 caps</font>, SB calls, Hero calls, MP1 calls. Flop: (17 SB) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font> SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 3-bets</font>, SB folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero caps</font>, MP1 calls, MP2 calls. Turn: (14.50 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, MP1 calls, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, MP1 calls, MP2 calls $1.37 (All-In), Hero calls, MP1 calls. River: (24.61 BB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players, 1 all-in)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, MP1 calls. Final Pot: 26.61 BB Results in white below: <font color="#FFFFFF"> MP1 has 7s 7c (three of a kind, sevens). MP2 has Ts Qd (straight, ace high). Hero has Js Jc (three of a kind, jacks). Outcome: MP2 wins 24.61 BB. Hero wins 2 BB. </font> |
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