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Old 04-30-2003, 04:56 PM
Holybull Holybull is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 21
Default Kentucky Derby

Here are my thoughts on the Derby. I know they haven't drawn post positions yet, but that won't affect my picks.

I like Atswhatimtalkinabout. I'm banking on the blinkers giving him a little more early speed. He did stumble a bit out of the gate in the SA Derby, so he has an excuse in that race. He's been training well, and if there is any pace at all, he can pass them all down the stretch. The price should be very fair between 7-1 and 10-1.

All Peace Rules has done is win 5 of his 8 races. He's 2 for 2 this year. I don't think he absolutely needs the lead like many think. In both of his prep races he was extending his lead down the stretch. He can press behind the early leaders, and should be there at the end.

Brancusi is my longshot choice. He's much improved this year. Hopefully he can get a decent ride from his French jockey.

Empire Maker just has too many question marks to back at 8/5. His bruised foot is being downplayed by Frankel. He hasn't faced much adversity in any of his prep races, and the Derby is usually pretty rough. Hopefully he won't like the big crowd and the dirt being kicked in his face for the first time and will finish out of the money.

See you in Vegas this weekend!

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