What sort of fold equity do I have here?

Bodhi · #1 08-25-2005, 02:55 PM

Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

The BB is slightly loose and passive.

Preflop: Hero is Button with 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. UTG+1 posts a blind of $2.
UTG calls, UTG+1 (poster) checks, 3 folds, CO calls, Hero calls, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: (6 SB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (6 players)
SB checks, BB bets, UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, CO calls, Hero raises, SB folds, BB calls, UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, CO folds.

Turn: (7.50 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (4 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero bets, BB calls, UTG folds, UTG+1 calls.

River: (10.50 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 players)
BB checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero...

car ramrod · #2 08-25-2005, 02:59 PM

not enough, I wouldn't even think to attempt this river bet. But thats just me, HU yea I could see it.

tiltaholic · #3 08-25-2005, 03:00 PM

i'd say little, since you didn't raise preflop. but maybe more than 9% of the time they both fold. especially if you have a really tight image and haven't shown down losers.

and i think you should have raised preflop.

Bodhi · #4 08-25-2005, 03:03 PM

Ok, thanx. FWiW, hero checks, and the BB took the pot with 73s. It's always frustrating for me to flop and oesfd and not complete it.

aces_dad · #5 08-25-2005, 03:03 PM

I agree HU it's much more likely to work but against 2, does it really work the 10:1 or so against these two?

If I knew the other player (not BB) was loose/passive calling station also I'm less inclinded to make this bet.

aces_dad · #6 08-25-2005, 03:05 PM

Well at least you know the river bet was unlikely to work.

BTW BB really shut down to your raise, surprised he didn't bet the river when the flush/straight draws busted.

milesdyson · #7 08-25-2005, 03:14 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Well at least you know the river bet was unlikely to work.

BTW BB really shut down to your raise, surprised he didn't bet the river when the flush/straight draws busted.

[/ QUOTE ]
he had 73 on a 738AA board. a flopped pair of 8s or 7s (with a 9+ kicker) beats him.

anyway i wouldn't have bet the turn.

imported_CaseClosed326 · #8 08-25-2005, 03:16 PM

I don't think you have any fold equity.

edit

This is from the guy who has completly give up trying to get people to fold better hands.

Marquis · #9 08-25-2005, 03:17 PM

You should check the turn.

aces_dad · #10 08-25-2005, 04:39 PM

Right didn't see the river A counterfit, that makes his play make more sense.