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  #1  
Old 12-10-2005, 06:57 PM
BigF BigF is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 112
Default Re: Anybody know? What are the chances of Pocket Aces, Kings and Jacks

[ QUOTE ]
Hey guys, new member (but quick to become a regular poster)

I'm trying to learn more about percentages or where to find a good resource for percentages on line. I know the basic stuff already, Aces against Kings for example are about 80/20 favorite. And I can go to Cardplayer.com on their poker calculator look up what Aces versus Kings and Jacks are Aces like 66%, Kings about 18% and Jacks about 16%

But my question is what are the percentages that when you have Pocket Jacks (at a 9 person table) someone else has Pocket Aces and someone else has Pocket Kings. It has to be about 1% or less but where do you find stuff like this out? About the only good percentage that I know is that when you flop a set, it's 1% that someone else has also flopped a set and I know that from reading Phil Gordon's Little Green Book. I can never find a good resource for these kind of percentages online.

Also, please do not tell me that I should be looking at the betting patterns and the players involved who are raising me before the flop. This hand came from a low stakes tourney on Pstars $5.50 entry fee, I just don't care at that level, you can't pull me off of Pocket Jacks and plus I had both of these guys covered in chips a couple times over. My point in saying that is, I know to fold when someone reraises me like that, but it's fun to call in low stakes with a potentially tilting hand.

[/ QUOTE ]

You don't need any books for this.

The odds are 8/221 * 7/221

A little greater than 0.1%
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  #2  
Old 12-11-2005, 01:11 PM
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Default Re: Anybody know? What are the chances of Pocket Aces, Kings and Jacks

okay I get the 221, because you are suppose to get Pocket Aces 1 out of every 221 and Kings every 1 out 221 hands. Not sure if the 221 is hand combinations or what not, but I've heard the number 221 before. How is it 8/221 and 7/221 where did the 8 and 7 come from??? I figured it was .5% at best so .1% makes sense. Thanks for taking time to answer my question, I appreciate the help fellows!
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  #3  
Old 12-12-2005, 12:36 AM
BigF BigF is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 112
Default Re: Anybody know? What are the chances of Pocket Aces, Kings and Jacks

[ QUOTE ]
okay I get the 221, because you are suppose to get Pocket Aces 1 out of every 221 and Kings every 1 out 221 hands. Not sure if the 221 is hand combinations or what not, but I've heard the number 221 before. How is it 8/221 and 7/221 where did the 8 and 7 come from??? I figured it was .5% at best so .1% makes sense. Thanks for taking time to answer my question, I appreciate the help fellows!

[/ QUOTE ]

It's a 9-person table so you have 8 opponents. They each have 1/221 to hold AA. The odds of one of them having AA are therefore 8/221. Same goes for KK (7/221)
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