nose picks 6/25

[Kevroc]

YTD 80-76 (-1220)

Tigers +165
Royals +110

[Vince Young]

You're playing underdogs? [img]/images/graemlins/shocked.gif[/img]

[mrbaseball]

[ QUOTE ]
80-76 (-1220)


[/ QUOTE ]

If this isn't documentation to lay off the favs I don't know what is [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[Kevroc]

i hear ya, i dont bet baseball much anymore but, these favs are brutal!

[mrbaseball]

I'm not trying to pick on you. I know you've stated you usually don't play these picks. But I have always had a theory that baseball favs (pretty much all sports favs) get overbet and skew the lines. This means value is typically on the dog side.

Today I end up touting a fav myself but generally most of my plays are on the dog side. Your nose picks record can serve as a cautionary tale to those who like to chase the chalk. More winners than losers but less money. It's not about the winner it's about the side with the value.

[popniklas]

Just as a side note, Sklansky states in "Getting the Best of It" that nearly all his football bets are on small underdogs.

I'm no sports betting expert, but I bet from time to time on soccer and ice hockey and it's the same thing there, the favorits are usually overbet by the public. So I believe you are right, mrbaseball.

[Kevroc]

tigers w +165
royals -100

ytd 81-77 -1155