Is 10 BB/hour sustainable?

[Valuebettingtheriver]

My average over 100-150 hours of live play is approx. 10 BB/hr at 3/6. I was basically wondering if this is sustainable in the long run since most if not all the tables I play are filled with terrible weak passive players. Can I expect to make this rate over 20K hands, or will variance start rearing its ugly face? I haven't really gone on a lucky streak. A lot of the time I find my premium hands are being cracked, but I am patient. If I remain this way could I keep this up? It seems way too easy, so it cant be sustainable. What rate would be?

[aK13]

10BB is impossible.

Not to mention live game rake/tip, your sample size is probably WAY too small to make any judgment of your real win rate.

You claim that you are "not getting lucky, and that your PPs have been broken". First off, you may be getting lucky with hitting tons of straight/flush draws and sets, hitting flops frequently with big offsuit broadways (AK, AQ), that you probably can't judge how often happen to any reasonable degree in a live game. Secondly, human psychology tends to remember the bad things that happen to them more than good -- thus, you may think your PPs are getting broken more often than they actually are.

[bottomset]

you get like 35hands an hour

in other words you are

a. full of [censored] on # of hours played
b. "forgetting" the days you lose, hrs you don't win
c. on a rediculously hot streak of cards
d. all of the above

my vote is on D

[Valuebettingtheriver]

Well I am not lying or misreporting...What can I expect to be a sustainable win rate? 2 BB/hour?

[aK13]

[ QUOTE ]
Well I am not lying or misreporting...What can I expect to be a sustainable win rate? 2 BB/hour?

[/ QUOTE ]

2 per hour? that is still 6BB per 100.

Expect 2-3 BB/100 at best in the long run, thus about 1 BB/ hr.

[Malachii]

Considering how poor the competition is at live 3/6, I think 2.5-3 BB/HR should be sustainable.

[mmmmmbrother]

[ QUOTE ]
Considering how poor the competition is at live 3/6, I think 2.5-3 BB/HR should be sustainable.

[/ QUOTE ]

maybe for an excellent player 2.5-3BB/100 hands, but not 2.5-3bb/hr.

maybe you missed the point where this is live

[baronzeus]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Well I am not lying or misreporting...What can I expect to be a sustainable win rate? 2 BB/hour?

[/ QUOTE ]

2 per hour? that is still 6BB per 100.

Expect 2-3 BB/100 at best in the long run, thus about 1 BB/ hr.

[/ QUOTE ]


People are beating party 0.5/1 for 6BB/100, and 3/6 live is considerably worse than party 0.5/1 in all aspects, from my experience. The rake percentage is about the same as well. If you have a good, fast dealer, you can win 1.5-2BB/hr.

[topspin]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Well I am not lying or misreporting...What can I expect to be a sustainable win rate? 2 BB/hour?

[/ QUOTE ]

2 per hour? that is still 6BB per 100.

Expect 2-3 BB/100 at best in the long run, thus about 1 BB/ hr.

[/ QUOTE ]


People are beating party 0.5/1 for 6BB/100, and 3/6 live is considerably worse than party 0.5/1 in all aspects, from my experience. The rake percentage is about the same as well. If you have a good, fast dealer, you can win 1.5-2BB/hr.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is not true. Rake + tokes will run you about double what you pay at Party. And this assumes you are not ordering drinks and tipping the waitress too.

[Eeegah]

I'm averaging +8.17BB/Hr this month and I'm already depressed about the inevitable comedown [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]