Big bluff attempt. Thoughts?

[galahad_187]

i had about 200 hands logged with this opponent at this table. He saw alot of flops (about 50%) and was fairly loose with the pf mini-raises (about 20%ish mini, another 5%ish manily raises). He seemed to greatly respect my raises, and was fairly solid post flop. Villian probably saw me as a solid TAG. I didn't do alot of big betting but when i did i won. So here is my bluff attempt. I DO NOT run these but i atleast felt like i had a pretty good chance of making him fold a fairly high percentage of the time. One more thing, the turn bet was my normal sized bet for that size of a pot regardless of what i had.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ Hero (6 max, 3 handed) converter

Button ($129.80)
SB ($180.75)
Hero ($440.29)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.50.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB (poster) raises to $1.5</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $5</font>, SB calls $4.

Flop: ($12) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $8</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $30</font>, SB calls $22.

Turn: ($72) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $50</font>

+EV? Lucky shot? too risky? im curious.

thanks,

galahad