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#1
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PP15: i fold a flush draw
bunch of people in #sstakes couldnt agree on the fold, so i thought id post it here.
Party Poker 15/30 Hold'em (9 handed) pokerhand.org hand converter Preflop: Hero is Button with 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. CO posts a blind of $15. <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, CO (poster) checks, Hero calls, SB completes, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises</font>, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, CO calls, Hero calls, SB calls. Flop: (12 SB) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(6 players)</font> SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">BB bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises</font>, MP3 folds, <font color="#CC3333">CO 3-bets</font>, Hero folds |
#2
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Re: PP15: i fold a flush draw
I think that's a safe fold. You're looking at the prospect of sinking a lot of bets into a pot when there's a very good chance you're drawing dead.
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#3
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Re: PP15: i fold a flush draw
I've never played 15/30, but this looks like a pretty clear call to me. Can you be that sure you're up against a bigger flush draw? You're getting 6:1 immediate odds, and the worst case scenario to me looks like BB folds and CO caps (21:4 -> ~5:1).
I think calling > capping > folding. |
#4
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Re: PP15: i fold a flush draw
good fold.
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#5
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Re: PP15: i fold a flush draw
I call. It's being played like made hands, not like a flush draw.
Krishan |
#6
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Re: PP15: i fold a flush draw
[ QUOTE ]
I call. It's being played like made hands, not like a flush draw. Krishan [/ QUOTE ]I agree. |
#7
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Re: PP15: i fold a flush draw
Easy fold there IMO
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#8
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Re: PP15: i fold a flush draw
i told you while you after you played the hand that its a fairly easy call for me since im flush-dominated so rarely.
we should consider capping too. |
#9
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Re: PP15: i fold a flush draw
[ QUOTE ]
i told you while you after you played the hand that its a fairly easy call for me since im flush-dominated so rarely. [/ QUOTE ] Based on raw probabilities you aren't, but after doing some Bayesian analysis during this hand, you might be this time. |
#10
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Re: PP15: i fold a flush draw
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] i told you while you after you played the hand that its a fairly easy call for me since im flush-dominated so rarely. [/ QUOTE ] Based on raw probabilities you aren't, but after doing some Bayesian analysis during this hand, you might be this time. [/ QUOTE ] How often can somebody do Bayesian analysis in the course of a hand? [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] |
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