Running Good (No Content)

Schneids · #1 11-10-2004, 07:30 PM

Party Poker 10/20 Hold'em (6 max, 6 handed)

Preflop: Schneids is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
UTG folds, UTG+1 raises, CO folds, Button folds, SB folds, Schneids calls.

Flop: (4.50 SB) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Schneids checks, UTG+1 bets, Schneids calls.

Turn: (3.25 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Schneids checks, UTG+1 bets, Schneids raises, UTG+1 3-bets, Schneids calls.

River: (9.25 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
Schneids bets, UTG+1 raises, Schneids 3-bets, UTG+1 caps, Schneids calls.

Final Pot: 17.25 BB

Results in white below: 
Schneids has Ah Js (four of a kind, jacks).
UTG+1 has Ks Kd (full house, kings full of jacks).
Outcome: Schneids wins 17.25 BB.

jrobb83 · #2 11-10-2004, 09:56 PM

You fish. Any exciting chat after that one went down?

Schneids · #3 11-10-2004, 10:04 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Any exciting chat after that one went down?

[/ QUOTE ]

Half an hour later another player at the table says, "Papa do you notice any patterns?" I say no. He says "everytime you raise you're getting three-bet by her." I realized it was true. I say "but I've been raising good hands...even for me." He says "like AJ?" I do the [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]

kiddo · #4 11-10-2004, 10:06 PM

A classic 1 outer. I would hate you. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

naphand · #5 11-11-2004, 06:48 AM

No way is this close to 1 out, it is the biggest suck possible in THE; runner-runner only-cards-in-the-pack makes it 1:1,081 on the flop. I've seen this once; pocket 77 vs pocket 55 with a 7 on the flop and no 5, sees run-run 5's for quads. I was at the sharp end of that. Ooof!

Scotch78 · #6 11-11-2004, 06:52 AM

I count 4 outs on the flop for a nut straight. He doesn't need the fourth jack to win until after the third one hits.

Scott

naphand · #7 11-11-2004, 07:29 AM

Ah yes.

nicky g · #8 11-11-2004, 10:18 AM

On the flop he could also hit runner runner aces to win.

Guy McSucker · #9 11-11-2004, 09:18 AM

[ QUOTE ]

No way is this close to 1 out, it is the biggest suck possible in THE; runner-runner only-cards-in-the-pack makes it 1:1,081 on the flop. I've seen this once; pocket 77 vs pocket 55 with a 7 on the flop and no 5, sees run-run 5's for quads. I was at the sharp end of that. Ooof!

[/ QUOTE ]

Just to be completely pedantic: not only is this not true in this case (because of the straight draw) but even if it were, it's only 989-1. Almost a sure thing!

Guy.

naphand · #10 11-11-2004, 03:31 PM

To catch the only 2 cards in the pack on a runner runner is:

2/47 on the Turn
1/46 on the River

2/47 x 1/46 = 1/1,081

What am I missing here? I only vaguely remember someone putting up a different result when this cropped up months ago, and someone else agreeing with this number.