#1
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variance on 10+1$
Hello
I dont play many sit and goes but so far it seems me crazy first 100 59 in the money...running well now 29 NONE in the money...is that so usual in 1-table tourneys??? regards Wolfgang |
#2
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Re: variance on 10+1$
A 29 OOTM streak is horrifying. Are you just exaggerating?
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#3
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Re: variance on 10+1$
I've played over 600 11s and never seen a OOTM streak over 13. Your huge swings indicate your probably calling alot of hands all-in, this leaves alot of your game up to luck and showing down the best hand, which increases "variance". Then again with less than 150 games, it really doesnt mean much.
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#4
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Re: variance on 10+1$
59/129 = 45.7% ITM
Looks good to me. Of course 129 games doesn't mean anything. 29 OTM streak at the 10's is knid of brutal but not beyond the realm of possibility. Just as 59 ITM for 100 games is incredibly hot but not impossible. If your a winning player you'll be fine. If you let your hotstreak influence your game you may be playing badly now. Winning every coinflip can make you feel kinda invincible. Then you start taking more chances than you should. Then varience catches up and not only are you losing 9 out of 10 coinflips, but you are involved in way more of these situations than you should be. |
#5
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Re: variance on 10+1$
[ QUOTE ]
Hello I dont play many sit and goes but so far it seems me crazy first 100 59 in the money...running well now 29 NONE in the money...is that so usual in 1-table tourneys??? regards Wolfgang [/ QUOTE ] im pretty sure, if i never played a hand, and just folded folded folded folded folded every single hand, i wouldnt go 29 ootm in the 10s. holla |
#6
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Re: variance on 10+1$
Nope, but i would say that the 59 times in the money before was a bit lucky.
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#7
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Re: variance on 10+1$
yeah i had before tourneys that on level 3 only 4 was on the table, but last 4 days i had many that level 6-7 we still was with 6-8 people. A few are right i play at the end many coinflip situations..and sure i lose them last days.
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#8
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Re: variance on 10+1$
[ QUOTE ]
if i never played a hand, and just folded folded folded folded folded every single hand except aa/kk , i wouldnt go 29 ootm in the 10s. holla [/ QUOTE ] fyp |
#9
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Re: variance on 10+1$
i think if you pushed every hand you wouldn't have a 29 ootm streak on the 11s either.
i smell a prop bet. any takers??? [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] |
#10
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Re: variance on 10+1$
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] if i never played a hand, and just folded folded folded folded folded every single hand except aa/kk , i wouldnt go 29 ootm in the 10s. holla [/ QUOTE ] fyp [/ QUOTE ] no, you didnt. literally fold every hand. holla |
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