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#1
12-09-2005, 08:30 PM
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When (& if) to release Trip A\'s??
PokerStars 0.25/0.50 Hold'em (9 handed) converter
Preflop: HouseCalls is SB with T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. UTG calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP1 calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, CO calls, Button calls, <font color="#CC3333">HouseCalls raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG calls, MP1 calls, CO calls, Button calls. Flop: (11 SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font> I'm happy with this flop. Thought about check raising hoping for a late bet to trap the field for 2 bets but since I rasied I thought it might get checked around so... <font color="#CC3333">HouseCalls bets</font>, UTG calls, MP1 calls, CO calls, Button calls. Turn: (8 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font> My enthusiasm is beginning to fade... <font color="#CC3333">HouseCalls bets</font>, UTG folds, MP1 calls, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises</font>, Button calls, HouseCalls calls, MP1 calls. 2nd hand at this table so I have no reads yet; didn't think I could give this up without more proof I was beat. River: (16 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font> My hand's better but not good enough to beat the posssible straight I was worried about. I was willing to play for 1 bet but did not want to be faced with a raise. Too weak?? HouseCalls checks, MP1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, HouseCalls calls, MP1 calls, CO calls. Final Pot: 24 BB At this point I figured I was pretty much dead (hard to believe that neither CO or button has the straight). Should I have saved the last 2 bets or was the pot too big to fold here? My basic questions - should I have given up top pair/set here and if so when? 
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#2
12-09-2005, 08:35 PM
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Re: When (& if) to release Trip A\'s??
before we talk about the river, let's first notice that you can not fold the turn with TP and oesd.
maybe we'll talk about the river later [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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#3
12-09-2005, 09:11 PM
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Re: When (& if) to release Trip A\'s??
You may save 2 bets by folding the river, but how many more than that do you lose to subsequent tilt when CO turns over two pair and button turns over an Ace with a lower kicker?
This is an easy call with a pot that big.
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#4
12-09-2005, 09:23 PM
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Re: When (& if) to release Trip A\'s??
I'd raise 500x faster than I fold the turn. Not because of any merits of raising, either. Folding the turn would be the worst mistake in poker.
I don't want to be an ass, but folding the river is really, really bad. You would have heard from a higher kicker by now. Only 3 straights beat you. You'll be shown an ugly and stupidly played two pair way too often to make that fold. Bet/call the river.
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#5
12-09-2005, 09:52 PM
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Re: When (& if) to release Trip A\'s??
Let's 3-bet the turn while we have MP1 and Button trapped. If CO caps, we can slow down after that. Hot or not?
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#6
12-09-2005, 10:33 PM
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Re: When (& if) to release Trip A\'s??
Is raising this hand preflop a good idea in SB, are we just raising for value here with all the limpers for when we hit?
But other than that, I agree that you cannot fold this hand on the turn or the river. OESD on the turn with top pair, then trips with a good kicker on the river, I dont fold this in either spots, maybe 3 bet the turn...
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#7
12-09-2005, 10:39 PM
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Re: When (& if) to release Trip A\'s??
Ed Miller has an article somewhere where he says that failing to raise ATs is a bigger mistake than raising 72o.
The preflop raise is for value, as you noted. We have a hand that plays well multiway. Our position sucks, but we would be giving up too much of our equity edge to just complete here.
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#8
12-09-2005, 10:42 PM
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Re: When (& if) to release Trip A\'s??
[ QUOTE ]
let's first notice that you can not fold the turn with TP and oesd. [/ QUOTE ] yeah yeah I agree you can't fold here but some percentage of the "outs to the oesd" are outs to a split pot so I think the bet/call approach is ok. Do you think a rasie is either for value or will buy outs - probably not.
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#9
12-09-2005, 10:47 PM
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Re: When (& if) to release Trip A\'s??
[ QUOTE ]
yeah yeah I agree you can't fold here but some percentage of the "outs to the oesd" are outs to a split pot [/ QUOTE ] Do you think all 4 callers on the turn have a T?
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#10
12-09-2005, 10:58 PM
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Re: When (& if) to release Trip A\'s??
[ QUOTE ]
Do you think all 4 callers on the turn have a T? [/ QUOTE ] Nope but what percentage of the time do u think I am still ahead after CO raises my turn bet? I'm not thinking of reraising here unles I pretty sure I'm still ahead. Is that weak thinking? Should I reraise unless I know I'm behind? - If so why? it doesn't seem to be for value and I think only hands I already beat will fold.
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