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  #11  
Old 07-28-2005, 06:42 PM
MrStretchie MrStretchie is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Victoria, Canada
Posts: 401
Default Re: I got it right, but my math might have been wrong

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I raise or fold preflop.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think of the three choices, those are the two that are the worst.

[/ QUOTE ]

Raising is pretty ridiculous. I'd lean toward folding, with calling being a close second.
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  #12  
Old 07-28-2005, 07:16 PM
W. Deranged W. Deranged is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 96
Default Re: I got it right, but my math might have been wrong

Centja,

We are assuming different things. You are looking at the pure probability a suited A or K was dealt given what we know. I was calculating the odds that, given that the two villains have flushes, one of them has an A or K high flush.

So we are coming up with different numbers.

Yours is a very good one to know and I'd have to check your numbers better to figure if it's right. Mine is the one I think the OP asked for and is a little more relevant here.
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  #13  
Old 07-29-2005, 11:52 AM
jat850 jat850 is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2007
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Default IMO Deranged wins...

For the best answer of the questions I asked. My math was questionable, but my "reads" worked (this time). I am glad that in the heat of battle, I didn't think about the A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] betting out on the turn. If I had ruled that out as card out against me, I would have called down and be $12 poorer. But the point of this whole process is to get me to think about things that I missed and I missed that line of thinking about the A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] that I can hopefully add to my mindset for the next time.
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  #14  
Old 07-29-2005, 11:54 AM
W. Deranged W. Deranged is offline
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Posts: 96
Default Re: IMO Deranged wins...

Thanks fishyak! I appreciate it.

A small victory for the D-bag...
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