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  #11  
Old 10-25-2005, 01:17 PM
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Default Re: an uninteresting hand

If it's an 8 with a better kicker, it would have to be something like A8s, or maybe K8s. An overpair is unlikely as typical opponents would raise with AA-TT in this spot. Your opponent will have overcards much of the time and may or may not call the river with them. Your biggest source of calls is the lower pairs. I also don't think you are ever getting raised here.
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  #12  
Old 10-25-2005, 01:21 PM
pistol78 pistol78 is offline
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Default Re: an uninteresting hand

I really dont like your flop raise. I don't know why yet, I just don't like it.
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  #13  
Old 10-25-2005, 01:25 PM
Borodog Borodog is offline
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Default Re: an uninteresting hand

[ QUOTE ]
I really dont like your flop raise. I don't know why yet, I just don't like it.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is an easy raise on the flop. Hero has top pair, position on the bettor, and can fold lots of overs by forcing them to call 2 cold.
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  #14  
Old 10-25-2005, 01:40 PM
dinero2433 dinero2433 is offline
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Default Re: an uninteresting hand

I'd say check through on the river - the only hands that call us are hands that beat us.
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  #15  
Old 10-25-2005, 02:07 PM
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Default Re: an uninteresting hand

[ QUOTE ]
I really dont like your flop raise. I don't know why yet, I just don't like it.

[/ QUOTE ]

Raise > fold > call. I don't see what's not to like about it?
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  #16  
Old 10-25-2005, 02:08 PM
AaronS AaronS is offline
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Default Re: an uninteresting hand

Hmmm, this is so read dependant. I dont have it in front of me but I think the rule from HPFAP was bet the river if you will win 55% of the the time you are called. Likely hands the average player would call with? I'd say A8, 78s (10 combinations); 44-77 (21 combinations). Ace high, A2, A3 I think are very unlikely for a typical players. In my opinion, the average player will always call with an 8, and more than 50% of the time when he holds one of the smaller pairs. So that would put you above the required 55%, and I would bet...

If you were the villain here, and held 44-77, would you call?
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  #17  
Old 10-25-2005, 02:11 PM
W. Deranged W. Deranged is offline
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Default Re: an uninteresting hand

1. Raise the flop.

2. Bet the turn.

3. Bet the river. You are getting called by a TON of worse hands. All the lower pocket pairs and hands like A2 and A3. Better 8s might well have reraised on the flop or something like that. You can fold to a raise easily.

If we say villain might play 87, T8+, A2, A3, 44-77, and so other random stuff, notice there are 48 hands that are beating us and 48 hands that we are beating. BUT, we should not that many of the T8+ hands (basically all of them except the suited varieties and A8) are very often not getting played in the first place. When we discount those sufficiently I think it's quite clear that we have a value bet.
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  #18  
Old 10-25-2005, 02:14 PM
krimson krimson is offline
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Default Re: an uninteresting hand

[ QUOTE ]
For this bet to be for value, you have to put him on 44-77. It's more likely he has an 8 with a better kicker. I'd show it down.

[/ QUOTE ]

People like to limp pocket pairs in pre-flop, so why are ruling out 44-77? I just don't see why a A8, specifically, is "more likely" than 44-77.
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