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  #1  
Old 10-06-2005, 12:30 PM
SheridanCat SheridanCat is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Chicago
Posts: 86
Default Re: I\'m sorry but I just have to ask . . .

[ QUOTE ]

If you go to the odds calculator at Cardplayer.com you can put in five players (max) and if you put in your 33 against an AK, QQ, JTs and 67s, you would find that you are only 16% to win. It's worse if there is another pair out there (14%). The only time you are the favorite is when they all hold each other's cards - hey, it happens!


[/ QUOTE ]

The whole question revolves around you hitting your set. You are getting proper odds to call preflop. Once you make your set on the flop, you are a favorite to win the hand against this lineup you just specified. If the flop comes monotone and makes the suited hand a flush, then you're a dog. Otherwise you're a favorite to take down a giant pot.

Regards,

T
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  #2  
Old 10-06-2005, 12:40 PM
Buz Buz is offline
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Default Re: I\'m sorry but I just have to ask . . .

There's no question that this is a call if you can see the flop cheap. This question is, "Is it a good bet if you know it will cost you four bets to see the flop?"
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  #3  
Old 10-06-2005, 01:01 PM
James282 James282 is offline
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Default Re: I\'m sorry but I just have to ask . . .

[ QUOTE ]
There's no question that this is a call if you can see the flop cheap. This question is, "Is it a good bet if you know it will cost you four bets to see the flop?"

[/ QUOTE ]

"The answer is, 'Yes.'"
-James
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  #4  
Old 10-06-2005, 02:04 PM
Buz Buz is offline
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Default Re: I\'m sorry but I just have to ask . . .

I find it interesting that so many posters side with calling when, according to Miller and Sklansky's SSHE, pocket pairs smaller than TT should be folded to a raise and a re-raise. Check the Starting Hand Guidelines for Loose Games.
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  #5  
Old 10-06-2005, 11:59 PM
ohnonotthat ohnonotthat is offline
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Default Re. it will cost 4 bets to see the flop

I was in for one bet before the chip heaving contest started.

If it were 4 bets to me cold it would be a questionable call even if I knew 7 others would be coming along for the ride.
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  #6  
Old 10-06-2005, 01:03 PM
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Default Re: I\'m sorry but I just have to ask . . .

This is my first post here, so take what i say with a grain of salt.

[ QUOTE ]
If you go to the odds calculator at Cardplayer.com you can put in five players (max) and if you put in your 33 against an AK, QQ, JTs and 67s, you would find that you are only 16% to win. It's worse if there is another pair out there (14%). The only time you are the favorite is when they all hold each other's cards - hey, it happens!


[/ QUOTE ]

By the numbers you are giving you justified a call. You are getting at the bare minimum 8-1 odds to play this hand. Even 14% is ~7-1 odds, so you are loosing money by not calling here.

[ QUOTE ]

I think there are other hands that can give you a much better expected value. Of course, many poker players are action junkies and find a lot of value in the thrill of trying to buck the odds and win a big pot. These, obviously, are the players you want at your table.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think you are worrying to much about if you are "ahead" of other players, from the numbers you mentioned here, you are getting the pot odds.
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  #7  
Old 10-06-2005, 04:08 PM
Victor Victor is offline
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Location: cleveland
Posts: 68
Default Re: I\'m sorry but I just have to ask . . .

this is a bad first post.

first posts consist of either 1)bad beats or 2) party is rigged.

your post has too much analysis. please start a new account and conform to forum guidelines.
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  #8  
Old 10-06-2005, 06:48 PM
Subfallen Subfallen is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 25
Default Re: I\'m sorry but I just have to ask . . .

[ QUOTE ]
this is a bad first post.

first posts consist of either 1)bad beats or 2) party is rigged.

your post has too much analysis. please start a new account and conform to forum guidelines.

[/ QUOTE ]

Mine was (2). [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]
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  #9  
Old 10-06-2005, 07:01 PM
ThaHero ThaHero is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Los Angeles and .25/.50 on PS
Posts: 199
Default Re: I\'m sorry but I just have to ask . . .

[ QUOTE ]
this is a bad first post.

first posts consist of either 1)bad beats or 2) party is rigged.

your post has too much analysis. please start a new account and conform to forum guidelines.

[/ QUOTE ]

You forgot #3. I've been crushing .5/.10, should I go pro???
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  #10  
Old 10-06-2005, 07:19 PM
Greg J Greg J is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Baton rouge LA
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Default Re: I\'m sorry but I just have to ask . . .

[ QUOTE ]
... .5/.10 ...

[/ QUOTE ]
Now that structure will screw up your implied odds!
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