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#1
10-21-2005, 10:48 AM
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Re: 5/10 Turn a set
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Push river. Most likely he has two pair. [/ QUOTE ] is this a joke? [/ QUOTE ] No? [/ QUOTE ] ok... i wasn't sure. I definitely disagree with this advice unless villain is a known idiot. I think villain often raises AK preflop, meaning that i think only 22 (6 combos) and AK (say 2 combos since he often raises), along with AA/KK (1 combo total- anyone raises these), and 45 (16 combos). Lets say he is a big idiot, and will call with say 10% of his 2pair hands(~60 combos total- so 6 that call). Even with this extremely fishy hand range for villain Hero only beats 14/31 combos. Imo most people fold almost all of their 2p hands, and also 22 a fair amount of the time. IMO calling>>>>folding>pushing. 
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#2
10-21-2005, 10:53 AM
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Re: 5/10 Turn a set
Despite numerical combination considerations, his play is most consistent with K3/A3. After that, 22 seems most likely. Whatever he has, he seems like he really likes his hand and is unlikely to fold having come this far. So either you are behind a very tricky AA/KK (highly unlikely) or 45 (most likely hand you are behind, IMO). Seems like there is value to the push once you add in slowplayed K2/A2 on the flop.
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