#1
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($109) 75/150, Button pushes, your move?
PartyPoker - NL Texas Hold'em $100 Buy-in + $9 Entry Fee Tournament | Level: 5 - 6 players (Converter: PGC)
Chip Counts: Button: 1225 Chips SB: 1120 Chips <font color="red">Hero: 1595 Chips</font> UTG: 1440 Chips UTG+1: 2775 Chips CO: 1845 Chips Hero is BB with 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Blinds are 75/150 PreFlop <font color="blue">UTG folds</font>, <font color="blue">UTG+1 folds</font>, <font color="blue">CO folds</font>, Button is All-In <font color="blue">SB folds</font>, <font color="green">Hero ?</font> Villian has VP$IP and PFR stats of 18/6. He's a TAG for sure, and has been opening up his game in recent rounds.. almost certainly 2p2. His name is El__Tiburon, if that rings a bell with anyone. |
#2
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Re: ($109) 75/150, Button pushes, your move?
I would fold...I don't think their range will be quite wide enough here.
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#3
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Re: ($109) 75/150, Button pushes, your move?
It certainly felt very close at the time. I think he'd be pushing around top 40% here. Of course the problem is if I fold A4o then can't he push more? And so on and so forth..
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#4
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Re: ($109) 75/150, Button pushes, your move?
I don't think he is pushing the top 40%, unless I know him EXTREMELY well.
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#5
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Re: ($109) 75/150, Button pushes, your move?
Please note that its breakeven to call if he is pushing the top 40%
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#6
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Re: ($109) 75/150, Button pushes, your move?
This just isnt the spot where I want to use my skill. If Im playing a super regular that pushes an insane amount in such situations, then I may call, but I need quite a bit of evidence first.
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#7
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Re: ($109) 75/150, Button pushes, your move?
Yes I think you're probably right, and yeah I know it's breakeven for 40% [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] but I believe it would be more than breakeven as it'd give me the big stack on the table, 5 handed. The old "future $EV" argument. Anyway ok what would be the lowest range you'd call with here, A7o or so?
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#8
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Re: ($109) 75/150, Button pushes, your move?
Sounds about right about A7o...I really don't like calling with A4o though unless I know a LOT about the opponent.
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#9
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Re: ($109) 75/150, Button pushes, your move?
I didn't love it at the time either.. anyway I did actually call and he had Q3o, and my hand held up, but it wasn't one I felt overly wonderful about, so I figured I'd post it.
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#10
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Re: ($109) 75/150, Button pushes, your move?
I would fold. Top 40% seems like a loose to reasonable assumption here, but A4o only wins about 47-48% of the time against that range. SNGPT shows it at breakeven against a 40% pusher, but pushing hands don't generally run along KS lines as the calling ranges tighten up. Against a better 40% range, it is a -EV call. At game speed I would assume he is on top 35% and would fold.
Just to clarify... 22+,A2+,K9o+,K4s+,Q9o+,Q5s+,J9o+,J7s+,T9o,T6s+,98o ,96s+,86s+,75s+,65s - You win 46.6% of the time against this range (a much better pushing range for him then what is in SNGPT) You win 48.4% of the time against the KS range. |
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