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#11
10-25-2005, 01:59 AM
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Re: i dont know what im doing, do you?
Why would he call a checkraise in a tiny unraised pot with a gutshot?
The only hands I'd call with would be an overcard + gutshot and of course any sane person would raise that preflop so he either has Qx or Jx which isnt good enough to call here, because his pair outs are tainted. Much more likely he has a T or a 9 and wants to get to a showdown and induce a call on the river. 
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#12
10-25-2005, 12:55 PM
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Re: i dont know what im doing, do you?
I don't mind the pf play, because I agree with the philosophy of mixing it up.
I think the flop c/r is fine too, but only if you lead the turn. Many people - and perhaps even most - will call that flop raise reflexively, so the call certainly does not mean that you are beat.
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#13
10-25-2005, 12:58 PM
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Re: i dont know what im doing, do you?
[ QUOTE ]
He limps with the weak Ace so people think that he doesnt have an ace. A TAG will automatically know that a limp doesnt mean an Ace, it usually means hey I've got a weak hand that I wanna test you with to see if I can get away with limping. [/ QUOTE ] If he's going to think (incorrectly) that we're testing him with a trash hand, then wouldn't we want to take a different postflop line?
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#14
10-25-2005, 03:46 PM
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Re: i dont know what im doing, do you?
i'd expect to see something like J9 here. he called the flop raise so it looks like he has something and i'm assuming more than just a bare queen or jack since he ends up betting the river. he checked the turn taking a free card and avoiding another possible c/r because he doesn't have a solid piece of the board. i assume he thinks you have nada on the river when you check to him again so he bets his pair. i don't think it's impossible for this player to bet the river with air, but judging by my past experiences in this spot, he'll usually have a piece.
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#16
10-25-2005, 04:14 PM
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Re: i dont know what im doing, do you?
diamonds.
Surf
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#17
10-25-2005, 04:20 PM
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Re: i dont know what im doing, do you?
After a few conversations with Jeff W (not about his hand, just in general), I think check/calling this river is very close to 1BB suicide. Coming from a tight player who has some idea about what's going on, this river bet is simply never a bluff. And even if that's not true, it certainly is not a bluff close to 1 in 5 times. Maybe 1 in 10 or 1 in 15.
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#18
10-25-2005, 05:04 PM
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Re: i dont know what im doing, do you?
[ QUOTE ]
After a few conversations with Jeff W (not about his hand, just in general), I think check/calling this river is very close to 1BB suicide. Coming from a tight player who has some idea about what's going on, this river bet is simply never a bluff. And even if that's not true, it certainly is not a bluff close to 1 in 5 times. Maybe 1 in 10 or 1 in 15. [/ QUOTE ] Upon reflection, I agree. Wow, that's really changed the way I think about calling the river. Surf
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