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  #1  
Old 12-30-2005, 12:25 PM
eastbay eastbay is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 647
Default Re: SNGPT says it\'s negEV....

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Well, first of all I'm half asleep and misread the HH. I thought CO pushed. [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]


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That's ok, I thought he minraised. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

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However, I still think your range for CO is too large given the big stack in the SB.


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Maybe right.

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CO has a hand that he likes against the small stack and I doubt it is T8s. Estimating how often the BB calls is of course a guess at best in a 22.

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All true. Seems like a reasonably close decision, all said.

eastbay
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  #2  
Old 12-30-2005, 12:28 PM
tigerite tigerite is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 360
Default Re: SNGPT says it\'s negEV....

I would call here, not push, just flat call.
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  #3  
Old 12-30-2005, 01:16 PM
Jbrochu Jbrochu is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 51
Default Re: SNGPT says it\'s negEV....

[ QUOTE ]
This is an auto fold. Yes, you are well ahead of his range, but you have to understand that when you lose here you are losing $11.50 in equity. When you win here you only have $15.00 equity in the tourney. If cutoff takes out the short stack your equity jumps up to $12.65.

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I don't like folding because the cutoff's range is very large, and even though the BB has a random hand he could easily double-up and now his stack size is close to yours.

I call this. If the BB calls I'll try to check it down unless I make trips or better on the flop then I push.

If the BB folds then I'm pushing any flop that doesn't have an A.
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