all in or fold?

[el_grande]

$30 buyin tourney. 1200 players entered, 320 left. Cash is 140th or better.

Blinds are 75/150, about to become 100/200. You have 1400 and are in MP3. Average stack is 2200. Typical (decent) player in EP with 4,500 raises to 450. There hasn't been a hand without a preflop raise in a while. Tough table.

You have 66. All in or fold?

[Chief911]

Fold I say.

You'll have better chances than vs. an UTG raiser who has to call you.

Nick

[JeanieJ]

Hate to disagree with someone who's probably 10x better than I am, but I'm pushing here. You don't have many chips and you're going to need to double up to stay alive in this tournament.

I'd fold. If he's decent he has a good hand when he raises UTG. And I doubt you can get him to fold with your stack size if you push.

So at best it'll be a coin-flip against two overcards and at worst you're a huge underdog against a better pair.

[DDBeast]

66 is a big dog to his range...easy fold

[donny5k]

[ QUOTE ]
Hate to disagree with someone who's probably 10x better than I am, but I'm pushing here. You don't have many chips and you're going to need to double up to stay alive in this tournament.

[/ QUOTE ]
He has enough chips to not put them all-in knowingly as an underdog (long-term) with no fold equity.

[el_grande]

I made the post because I felt I made a mistake by going all in. I agree I should have folded. Original raiser had 99 and I was gone.

This was one of those subtle emotional moments. I'm thinking about my low stack size and you just couldn't limp at this table. After the next blinds pass I'm at 1100 and in the red zone deep.

So I went with 66, but if you pokerstove the equity of 66 vs the hands a standard UTG player would raise with.. its not good.