Game theory football

[Tater10]

I was reading the David Romer paper about going for it on 4th down, and how NFL teams are too conservative when I thought back to my football game. There was an article written in the 2+2 magazine here about going for it on 4th down, i think sklansky wrote it. Makes me think that sometime in the near future that a high profile college team will start going for it on 4th down and start going for 2 more often as your example. 'Moneyball II' will be in the near future.