Prior -108 ?

Feltin Licter · #1 07-07-2005, 12:51 PM

I almost only bet on dogs but I expected this one to be -130ish. Prior v Ramirez a pick em? Comments??

whipsaw · #2 07-07-2005, 12:54 PM

Yeah that 0-2 lifetime against ATL with a 6+ ERA makes me want to lay wood on the road against a good team. Am I the only one that thinks betting the Cubs as a favorite in this road game is just wrong?

mrbaseball · #3 07-07-2005, 01:02 PM

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Cubs as a favorite in this road game is just wrong

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True. Prior can dominate but... but the Cubs are in a major funk right now and on a big losing streak. Their offense is anemic at best and without D. Lee may just turn out to be non-existant. I see better chances than the Cubs on the road, Prior or not.

whipsaw · #4 07-07-2005, 01:08 PM

MR B, I thought you didn't buy into current streaks because they can reverse anytime without warning?

mrbaseball · #5 07-07-2005, 01:22 PM

Streaks? Current form [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] Current form is worth looking at! Cubs current form is poor while Braves is good. I will admit Priors current form is good too. But the loss of Lee hurts the Cubs a lot. They are weak enough offensively with him.

I wouldn't bet on (or against) any streak. I will however always factor in current form and let that help me make a decision. My favorite current form factors are starting whip over last 3 starts and rpg for last 10 games. Prior does have much better whip over last 3 but over last 10 Cubs at 2.81 rpg to Braves 5.42. Then subtract Lee and it looks real ugly. But those are just a few of the things I factor in.

Feltin Licter · #6 07-07-2005, 01:29 PM

No mention thatRamirez has been awful. My concern is that The Lizard will pull Prior after 6 innings. I'm on The Cubs. I actually like Oakland too.

mrbaseball · #7 07-07-2005, 01:33 PM

Yeah Ramierez is nothing special, except he's at home and on a better team with a better offense and like you assume Dusty may pull Prior no matter what if the pitch count gets too high. Despite a few good outings the guy still has a cracked elbow.

Betting Prior probably fair at this price but I didn't see any real edge.

Feltin Licter · #8 07-07-2005, 01:42 PM

Cubs offense v Ramirez or ATL offense v Prior. Crunch the numbers

whipsaw · #9 07-07-2005, 02:34 PM

I'd rather watch 100 year old Franco crunch the homers. Don't get so defensive about your picks. Mr B is a baseball god.

scalf · #10 07-07-2005, 07:16 PM

[img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].. i think the braves are on a treeemendous roll; and the cubs are diseased..real sick

betting huge 2nd g smolz -1.5 about even

gl

take the cash

gl

[img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]