Compunding decisions that span hands ... why weakness kills

[Tim H]

I have not played a tourney this weak in a long time.

I am BB with 80 people left in bodog $15 - $10k Gauranteed (top 45 get cash)
I have am 3rd in chips and chip leader at table with 11K (tourney chip leader has about 12k)
Average stack will be ~9.9K at 45 left and ~44k at final table

Blinds are 800/400

I am BB with 10 - 7
UTG has ~4.5k and opens with a min raise
UTG +1 has 7K and calls
Folds to me.

Table is very aggressive, blinds are getting up there. Normal strategy for me is to sit and wait/trap especially with the chip lead
but for 800 more I thought I would see the flop, maybe I should of pushed which is what I was going to do but decided to call instead.

Flop: 6 - 8 - 10 with 2 hearts
Mistake - I bet ~$1300 knowing SS has to push and I will call him. Should of pushed here or checked to bail out cheaper if didn't like UTG+1's push.

UTG pushes
UTG+1 pushes
I fold ... talk about weak, and usually I push this everytime (top pair with a redraw to str8/flush)


Anyhow, with this pot I would be almost double the next highest stack in the remaining field and if I lost It will be no easy task to make the cash.

What happens a couple hands later was just about enough to make me sick to my stomach.
If I had that chip lead I would of been in a pot with 4 other people all in (max 9k chips) total pot was around 29k instead I ended up mucking 77.


I am MP with 77(~7k chips) and open the pot for 2k
CO pushes
button, SB, BB all call/push
I fold of course since it is now about survival to bubble.


ended up in 36th about where my play gauranteed I would be.