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  #11  
Old 01-13-2005, 02:23 PM
meep_42 meep_42 is offline
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Default Re: KK uncertainty (do I value bet?)

Cap the flop, I'm 3-betting the turn about 75% of the time with the field trapped. I'm betting and calling a raise on the river.

-d
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  #12  
Old 01-13-2005, 02:50 PM
chris_a chris_a is offline
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Default Re: KK uncertainty (do I value bet?)

Yes, I would only call if bet to on the river.

I guess that my point was that this guy seems to check-raise instead of value bet so there was little difference between calling his bet and betting into a potential check-raise.

My thinking at the table was along the lines of the "heads up on the river" section of HEPFAP. But instead of needing to win this one 55% of the time it was higher since his probability of check-raising is very high. I thought it was something like 65%.

When you think about it like that, it seems close. (Or does it?)
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  #13  
Old 01-13-2005, 02:55 PM
droolie droolie is offline
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Default Re: KK uncertainty (do I value bet?)

I bet and expect the trifecta check raise. Then I three bet and call a cap. This is because he is super LAG. I just call if he's a garden variety LAG.
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  #14  
Old 01-13-2005, 03:02 PM
chris_a chris_a is offline
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Default Re: KK uncertainty (do I value bet?)

Sorry, Super-LAG but not that Super. Plus he wasn't Super-Bad (postflop).

3-betting is not an option for me here. I've got about 250BB bankroll and I don't want to squeeze out the small EV from this play (and I think it will be small with the possibility of him capping with a better hand) for the big increase in variance.

Even with 600BB bankroll I wouldn't 3-bet this though.
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  #15  
Old 01-13-2005, 03:15 PM
Sarge85 Sarge85 is offline
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Default Re: KK uncertainty (do I value bet?)

Pound away on LAGS with strong hands.... They will so you so much sh*t on the river it's freaking hillarious.

Sarge[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
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