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  #1  
Old 03-13-2005, 03:51 PM
Clarkmeister Clarkmeister is offline
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Posts: 4,247
Default NCAA Tournament Field

One of my favorite days of the year. With that, here are my final top 16 teams. This is my opinion of where they *should* be seeded, not where they will be seeded. Of note is that 89% of Final Four teams have come from the top 16 teams, almost 75% from the top 8.

Note that Okie St. and Duke are flexible based on their results today.
In order:

1 Seeds
Illinois
North Carolina
Wake Forest
Oklahoma State

2 Seeds
Duke
Kentucky
Gonzaga
Washington

3 Seeds
Oklahoma
Arizona
Kansas
UConn

4 Seeds
Louisville
Boston College
Syracuse
Villanova


Teams most likely to be seeded too high by the NCAA:
Louisville (and anyone from CUSA), Kansas, Michigan State.

Teams most likely to be seeded too low by the NCAA:
Gonzaga, Oklahoma, Pitt.
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  #2  
Old 03-13-2005, 04:22 PM
pshreck pshreck is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 2
Default Re: NCAA Tournament Field

What do you think about GT? This has got to be the mid-seed team that all the good teams dont want to see in their bracket. Win or lose today, they are playing some pretty good basketball.
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  #3  
Old 03-13-2005, 04:36 PM
Corey Corey is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: WSOP 2005: Here I Come
Posts: 350
Default Re: NCAA Tournament Field

I haven't wasted a whole weekend watching TV in so long...well, since last March.

The end to the Duke-GT game was awesome and I'll second the idea that GT is the team nobody wants to see in the first round. That being said, I think this little run will elevate their seed to the 6-7 range, when three weeks ago 10-12 was not out of the question.

Duke's win today seals a #1 seed. The final #1 seed comes down to Ok. State or Wake Forest but I think OK state needs to win convincingly to knock wake out of the top seed. Kentucky is assured a two with the way they lost just hours before the selections are final.
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  #4  
Old 03-13-2005, 04:50 PM
tbach24 tbach24 is offline
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Location: Trying to overcome the bad luck
Posts: 2,351
Default Question about GW

How good are they? I'm an A-10 fan, but didn't really follow the NCAA this year. How do they stand against the rest of the country?
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  #5  
Old 03-13-2005, 05:26 PM
Corey Corey is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: WSOP 2005: Here I Come
Posts: 350
Default Re: Question about GW

[ QUOTE ]
How good are they? I'm an A-10 fan, but didn't really follow the NCAA this year. How do they stand against the rest of the country?

[/ QUOTE ]

I've seen them on TV a couple of times since moving to the DC Area and I can tell you I'm not impressed. They're simply the best team in a very down year for the A-10. They did beat Michigan State and (then top-10) Maryland early in the season, but were inconsistent at best in the A-10.

I think one of the biggest factors for team like G.W. for pulling an upset is quality gaurd play and they don't have the leadership or organizational skills at the point. Thompson, their PG, is a turnover machine.

GW does have have a couple of things going for them: (1) They have a couple of shooters and we know how important that is in pulling an upset and (2) they are a solid defensive team, especially on the perimiter.

That's my take from the 3ish times I've seen them play on TV.
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  #6  
Old 03-13-2005, 05:26 PM
hoyaboy1 hoyaboy1 is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Cheating at WEBoggle
Posts: 246
Default Re: NCAA Tournament Field

Someone explain to me why Buffalo is probably going to make the tourney.
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  #7  
Old 03-13-2005, 05:38 PM
banditbdl banditbdl is offline
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Join Date: May 2003
Location: Twin Cities
Posts: 319
Default Re: NCAA Tournament Field

Ugh, I don't like Pitt at all. Yeah, they work hard and are physical, but they always seem so limited offensively when I watch them and they're 5-5 in their last 10.
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  #8  
Old 03-13-2005, 05:44 PM
Corey Corey is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: WSOP 2005: Here I Come
Posts: 350
Default Re: NCAA Tournament Field

[ QUOTE ]
Someone explain to me why Buffalo is probably going to make the tourney.

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't think Buffalo gets in. Before the developments on the west coast last night, they were definately in the mix. There just aren't enough at-large bids to go around. When you're from one of the low mid majors, you need better quality wins than home to Miami (OH) and home to Ohio. The MAC is just a bad conference and there's no way the committee lets them in when teams like Iowa, Iowa State, and UAB are there who play in much better conferences with similar records.
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  #9  
Old 03-13-2005, 06:14 PM
Cubswin Cubswin is offline
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Posts: 1,079
Default Re: NCAA Tournament Field

Duke is an easy #1 seed after their win today
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  #10  
Old 03-13-2005, 06:15 PM
BWebb BWebb is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 91
Default Re: NCAA Tournament Field

[ QUOTE ]

Note that Okie St. and Duke are flexible based on their results today.
In order:

1 Seeds
Illinois
North Carolina
Wake Forest
Oklahoma State

2 Seeds
Duke
Kentucky
Gonzaga
Washington

3 Seeds
Oklahoma
Arizona
Kansas
UConn

4 Seeds
Louisville
Boston College
Syracuse
Villanova


Teams most likely to be seeded too high by the NCAA:
Louisville (and anyone from CUSA), Kansas, Michigan State.

Teams most likely to be seeded too low by the NCAA:
Gonzaga, Oklahoma, Pitt.

[/ QUOTE ]

I like your list. Only changes I make is moving Duke to a #1 and WF to a #2. Also, I'd put Florida in as a 4 and Villanova out of the top 16. Kansas might be struggling now, but they should still get a #2 seed because of their entire year. I'd put Gonzaga as a #3.
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