Wow was FCP wrong

[GooperMC]

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It's possible to calculate the EV of this hand, at least from a Bayesian perspective.

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From a Bayesian perspective is it possible to get close to the true EV but it still impossible to get the true EV. You would need an infinitely large data set to make your hand distribution 100% accurate.

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We just need our probility weights for the range of hands our opponent could hold here.

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That is exactly what I did. The probilities are supplied by you from the large database of hands that are in your head.

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If we had a very large database of hands against the Villain (millions of hands) then we could see what he has held when done the same thing. If we haven't played the Villain much, then we can still make a rough estimate based on card frequencies and the average opponent.

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That still wouldn't give us a true EV calculation, that would just be a good guess.

BTW econ_tim it is good to see you over here. I hope that you stick around and maybe we call all learn something.