over the course of 100K hands

[Megenoita]

It's decently probable. Probably 20-25% probable depending on your win rate. If your win rate is below really good, like under 2 BB/100 truly, then it's probably 20-25% probable. Having many 100 BB downswings is extremely normal. Having a 200 and a 300 is not very likely, but I would assume in 500k hands, it happens once or twice to a non-spectacular player.

I know Peter_Rus has had much fewer and more gentle swings than almost all other players. Win rate does affect variance significantly.

[daryn]

[ QUOTE ]
It's decently probable.

[/ QUOTE ]


ah, thank you sir