33: BB D 50/100

[schwza]

stacks:

BB (hero): 1000
SB: 1800
BTN: 1700
CO (pusher): 1100
MP3: 2400

CO pushes, folds to me. i have A7o.

if i put CO on a very wide range of Q9+, K2+, A2+, 22+ (and dumb range - 78s would obviously be a better pushing hand for villain, but i'm lazy and using sngpt defaults), i'm 50.7% to win.

i thought that would make it a clear fold. i'm getting only a little bit of pot odds (250 in dead money on a 900 call), so i thought that i should fold for sure. but sngpt says it's +0.1%, so could go either way.

anyway, just surprised to see how willing you should be to gamble when you're not in a great spot to cash but are far from desperate.

(and a8 is 52.3% and +0.5% to call)

[Hornacek]

fold preflop. and since others behind me will do the same, i'll do it for them:

[ QUOTE ]
fold preflop.

[/ QUOTE ]

[john smith]

I thought SNGPT can't calculate EV for calls? Only pushes?

[downtown]

[ QUOTE ]
I thought SNGPT can't calculate EV for calls? Only pushes?

[/ QUOTE ]

Incorrect.

[john smith]

Sorry, I meant from the BB. I can't select the BB as my position, it's grayed out?

[jeffraider]

+.1% is a clear fold for me. Why take this puny edge when you can just mash your chips in next hand you can be first in and get +.4% or +.5%?