basics: opening A2o in SB

[MicroBob]

he would have to be pretty gutsy to call this with any kind of overcards which he could have.

i agree that i tend to be optimistic about my opponents' crappy holding though.


yes, I check-fold the river after a turn-bet...but I don't think it gets called 75% of the time.
Much of the time it will be raised and you can more safely fold....or you can induce a fold from your opponent.

I think this bluff works more than 75% of the time.

[MicroBob]

also - when he does call there is still the chance that your ace outs are good.
and certainly the chances of a rivered 5 leading to a split-pot are decent as well.

so on the river there are 7 cards that you're reasonably happy to see (I wouldn't go so far to call them 'outs' though because you really have no idea where you stand)

this isn't THAT much of a factor...just something that occured to me....that you aren't COMPLETELY dead if he only calls.
But the original idea is that a bluff here can still win the hand....and checking almost automatically loses no matter what he has.

[joker122]

[ QUOTE ]
I think this bluff works more than 75% of the time.


[/ QUOTE ]

a bluff in the literal sesne (trying to fold a better hand) is effective 0% of the time here, imo.

[Warik]

Prelfop: I raise
Flop: I bet
Turn: I check and fold to a bet
River: I bet and fold to a raise