Folding top set on turn...

[wiggs73]

This is from the Pacific 10k gaur., so no HH. Please forgive.

Blinds are 50-100. Relevant stacks are UTG at 3k, myself at 4.5k and BB at 2k. I'm in the small blind with Q9.

UGT limps, I complete, BB checks. Flop is 24Q with no flush. I'm pretty sure I should have led or check-raised but instead I checked, BB bet 100, UTG called, and I called. Flop was another Q. I bet 400 into the 600 chip pot, BB pushes for 1.5k more and UTG folds.

Per the subject line, I folded.

[Exitonly]

2:1 odds w/ trips? i think thats gotta be a call. I'm definitely calling.

Think you have to call. Since you didn't bet the flop (and everyone almost always bets top pair for value) your opponent probably doesn't think you have a Queen. He could be making this move with a ton of hands... inlcuding bottom pair A-kickie...

Call... if he shows you a boat... oh well.

I don't think you're against AQ or KQ as it was a 3 way limped pot.

[nath]

In a manner of speaking, this isn't "top set"...
...but I think there are WAY too many hands you're ahead of to fold this. Queens with worse kickers as well as some mid pairs make this move.

[wiggs73]

I'm pretty surprised at myself for folding this. It felt like the right move for some reason though. I think a large part of this is that I feel like I've been making too many loose calls lately. My stack was well above average at the time and still would have been if I folded.

I think I might need to take a few days off. I think I'm making bad folds now on top of bad calls.

[wiggs73]

On the upside, I got my status upgraded to 'old hand' during this tournament, so that makes me feel a bit better about things. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

[nath]

[ QUOTE ]
My stack was well above average at the time and still would have been if I folded.

[/ QUOTE ]

This shouldn't be a factor nearly as much as the likelihood that you're ahead, which is high.

If you had a feeling you were beaten, go with it, but don't justify it this way, or you'll start passing up good situations whenever your stack gets a little ahead of the game.

Yeah, i'd definitely call. Though I know what u mean about making loose calls. I feel the same way right now.

[wiggs73]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
My stack was well above average at the time and still would have been if I folded.

[/ QUOTE ]

This shouldn't be a factor nearly as much as the likelihood that you're ahead, which is high.

If you had a feeling you were beaten, go with it, but don't justify it this way, or you'll start passing up good situations whenever your stack gets a little ahead of the game.

[/ QUOTE ]

Good point.

[locutus2002]

Instacall. He could have any two on the BB. You are 45% against his hand if he has ONLY a Q or a full house. I think his range includes alot of other hands like 55++.

You are getting 2.7:1 in the pot and need to be 26% in the hand.




Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

13,464 games 0.016 secs 841,500 games/sec

Board: Qc 4d 2h Qs
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) / tie (%)

Hand 1: 55.7709 % [ 00.48 00.08 ] { 44, 22, AQs, KQs, QJs-Q2s, AQo, KQo, QJo-Q2o }
Hand 2: 44.2291 % [ 00.36 00.08 ] { Q9o }