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#1
09-25-2005, 12:39 AM
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Overpair vs. a Raise on the Turn
Read on villain is 11.5/9.5/2.5 but only after 40 hands.
Everything is pretty standard up until the turn. At this point am I calling or re-raising? Party Poker 0.50/1.00 Hold'em <font color="#0000FF">(10 handed)</font> link Preflop: Hero is Button with K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">1 folds</font>, UTG+1 calls, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, MP3 calls, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG+1 calls, MP3 calls, CO calls. Flop: (13.50 SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font> UTG+1 checks, MP3 checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, UTG+1 folds, MP3 folds, CO calls. Turn: (8.75 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> CO checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises</font>, Hero ??? 
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#2
09-25-2005, 12:42 AM
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Re: Overpair vs. a Raise on the Turn
Call down.
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#4
09-25-2005, 06:00 AM
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Re: Overpair vs. a Raise on the Turn
In order of most likely villian holdings
1. JJ 2. AA 3. QQ 4. KK Call down.
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#6
09-25-2005, 10:42 AM
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Re: Overpair vs. a Raise on the Turn
That looks like TJ to me. It's possible he donked the Flush draw on the Flop so you can probably add A [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]J [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] and K [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]J [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] to the list.
I think it's less likely this type of player would have flopped a big hand like Trips or 2pair, but it is a remote possibility.
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#7
09-25-2005, 11:10 AM
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Re: Overpair vs. a Raise on the Turn
I say call the river check-raise, do not 3 bet? Why? It's almost always a very good indicator of strength, but he may be bluffing the failed heart draw 1 in 10 times. Sadly, if you raise, I see you getting capped here, and I don't think you're ahead of this kind of river agression 25% of the time.
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#8
09-25-2005, 11:15 AM
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Re: Overpair vs. a Raise on the Turn
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] In order of most likely villian holdings 1. JJ 2. AA 3. QQ 4. KK Call down. [/ QUOTE ] I'd add 77 and JTs. [/ QUOTE ] I add AKs, AQs and KQs (preferably hearts).
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