$10 PStars MTT ITM - correct push?

[McMelchior]

We're down to 80 from 1,500 starters, all the money is at the final table.

Everybody has been playing like moving up $7 in pay is what this game is about, except for MP1, a true loose canon that twice within the last 12 hands PF have raised 88 from EP and then moved all-in on flops containing over-cards. Last time he was reduced from t50k to current level.

There's 9 minutes until the blinds escalate again.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t2000 (9 handed) converter


UTG+1 (t22952)
MP1 (t12917)
MP2 (t22713)
MP3 (t23580)
CO (t18184)
Button (t66986)
Hero (t16575)
BB (t2864)
UTG (t53103)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
UTG calls t2000, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP2 calls t2000, MP3 calls t2000, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Button calls t2000, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises all-in to t16475</font>.

Is my line OK?

Best,

McMelchior (Johan)

[McMelchior]

Correction:

The loose canon was MP2 (who limps after the big UTG stack) , not MP1.

[ClaytonN]

Meh?

I cannot say for sure. It likely just boils down to a math problem based on the percentage of times you are getting called and the range of hands the caller has.

I would rather do this with T9s than KQo, though. You are very, very likely to be dominated/slight dog if anyone calls.

[Isura]

I'd push. You're getting 2:1 when called, and this is great spot (HU against a probable wide calling range) to build your stack. If villain is playing like he wants to fold his way up the money, he will fold mediocre holdings, since he can survive another orbit after the SB passes him.

[Isura]

[ QUOTE ]

I would rather do this with T9s than KQo, though. You are very, very likely to be dominated/slight dog if anyone calls.

[/ QUOTE ]

This doesn't seem correct. HU is all about high card value, and suitedness only adds about 2% HU. How many hands are we really dominated here? It's less than 2% of the time. Also, we're probably better than 50/50 when called since villain only has 1BB, and getting 2:1 this seems like an easy push.

[pooh74]

[ QUOTE ]
Meh?

I cannot say for sure. It likely just boils down to a math problem based on the percentage of times you are getting called and the range of hands the caller has.

I would rather do this with T9s than KQo, though. You are very, very likely to be dominated/slight dog if anyone calls.

[/ QUOTE ]

I would say it is extremely UNLIKELY he is dominated here. Unless someone is trapping, who is limping with AK,AQ, QQ-AA? I would almost never, absent some great read, play this hand any differently given this situation.

[TheTimeIsUp]

[ QUOTE ]
I would rather do this with T9s than KQo, though. You are very, very likely to be dominated/slight dog if anyone calls.

[/ QUOTE ]
Dominated?! You think they are limping with AK/AQ, not a chance.

I love this push. Bullying the limpers is another of my secrets of getting easy chips. However, this IS a 10 MTT, and a hand like A4 will likely call you. Due to the range of hands however, I like it.

[ClaytonN]

I've seen people limp with some weird things.

I like the push with KQo, is all I'm saying. But if you're getting called here, KQo sucks.

[durron597]

Nice spot for a PVS. With a good read on the limpers I often make this push with any two.

Really I'm only worried about UTG waking up with AA. After that they're probably just looking to catch a cheap flop. Do you have any read that he would limp UTG with a big pocket pair? In other words, is he a TAG solid player who is capable of making a move like that?

[McMelchior]

MP2 didn't seem much TAG to me ... as it all came down he probably was concerned about the big stack UTG.

I moved in (which I now believe would be correct every time with this field) and after UTG folded he came over the top with 88, spiked a set and I missed my inside str8. Excellent pot odds for both of us.

Best,

McMelchior (Johan)