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  #11  
Old 09-19-2004, 07:56 PM
Lori Lori is offline
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Default Re: 5 point spread,17-12, 8 mins to go defense as recievers.

FWIW Lori - I thought Brandon Webb might come through for you and considered it a pretty good pick for the other reasons you mentioned.


That is appreciated more than you probably realise.

It's almost embarrassing posting here, but although I have a few more bets than I post here, I'll never be able to be honest with myself, or anyone else, unless I post in advance my real fancies.

I really think the Dolphins are pretty bad and look for Carson Palmer to have a big night.
I have bets at a couple books on this one at -5 and -5.5.


You're in deep trouble! I have the Bengals in the 3+1 challenge thread and a win will give me a positive score [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

I WILL however improve through the season. When I get obsessed with something I try to get it right.

Now the only question is whether a brit who doesn't see many live games but follows things live on websites can get enough of a grip to do better than even. (We'll worry about beating the juice later [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img])

My reasoning for my pick in the other thread was that I can't see the Dolphins getting close to anyone, and I think they are still struggling to come to terms with Williams' messing around, and until they forget all about him they won't be doing anything.

Lori (Hang on, I CAN gloat... we won the Ryder cup [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img] )
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  #12  
Old 09-20-2004, 12:23 AM
Lori Lori is offline
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Default Re: 5 point spread,17-12, 8 mins to go defense as recievers.

Sorry Bob, the nightmare is complete.

Lori
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  #13  
Old 09-20-2004, 12:31 AM
Easy E Easy E is offline
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Default ehhhh- first week jitters.

Look at my record... or scalf's!

Don't sweat it- come out swinging next week.
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  #14  
Old 09-20-2004, 12:36 AM
Lori Lori is offline
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Default Re: ehhhh- first week jitters.

No probs Easy.

Just thought that as I've listened to bad beat stories on the forums for 3 years that I'd have my own little whine.

I love your event and I shan't be giving up.

One vaguely interesting observation, remembering that being new I might have some odd traits, is that all four of my football picks and all three baseball picks have been extremely close to the line either way.

It may mean something about the way I think, or it could be a weirdo coincidence, either way I thought I'd mention it [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

Lori
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  #15  
Old 09-20-2004, 12:48 AM
craig r craig r is offline
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Default Re: ehhhh- first week jitters.

How close to the line?

craig
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  #16  
Old 09-20-2004, 12:50 AM
Lori Lori is offline
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Default Re: ehhhh- first week jitters.

Baseball: -1 run -0.5 runs on victory margin +0.5 on run line.

Football: Bills +0.5 Bengals -1 Browns -3 Broncos -4

I think these are almost all the close ones on the list.

Lori
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  #17  
Old 09-20-2004, 01:50 AM
craig r craig r is offline
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Default Re: ehhhh- first week jitters.

I understand now. I thought you were saying that the line you came up with for games, was close to the closing line.

Maybe part of the reason that the final score is close to the line is because of a lot of linesmakers being ex-bettors. Maybe on a some of these games the "true line" is close to the posted line. or, maybe like you said, it is just a coincidence. any ideas or thoughts anybody?

craig
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