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  #1  
Old 06-16-2004, 10:25 PM
Aneubis Aneubis is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 12
Default confidence shot by bad beats - what to do?

After finishing in the money 40% of the time in my first 40 SNG's I haven't had a top 3 for 8 SNG's now. Been busted or crippled by people calling all in with draws/nothing and catching miracles. Feeling like I am turning into a calling station, which sucks. I know bad beats are part of the game but a week straight, how do you recover? Bank roll is taking a beating. I've even moved down in buy-in's. Here's an example hand. Got to know if I should do something different. Is there any way to keep people with these hands from calling a bet....maybe just go all-in? Any way I put him on that kind of a hand after calling a big pre-flop raise?

Paradise Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t10 (9 handed)

Button (t1565.00)
Hero (t875.00)
BB (t740.00)
UTG (t1112.00)
UTG+1 (t1067.00)
MP1 (t1410.00)
MP2 (t1301.00)
MP3 (t945.00)
CO (t985.00)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. Hero posts a blind of t10.
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls t20, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, MP3 folds, CO folds, Button calls t20, <font color="CC3333">Hero (poster) raises to t70</font>, BB calls t50, UTG+1 calls t50, Button calls t50.

Flop: (t280) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(4 players)</font>
<font color="CC3333">Hero bets t200</font>, BB folds, UTG+1 folds, Button calls t200.

Turn: (t680) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(2 players)</font>
<font color="CC3333">Hero bets t605</font>, Button calls t605.

River: (t1890) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(2 players)</font>

Final Pot: t1890

Results in white below: <font color="white">
Hero shows Qc Qs (two pair, queens and sevens).
Button shows 6s 7d (full house, sevens full of sixes).
Outcome: Button wins t1890. </font>
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  #2  
Old 06-16-2004, 11:25 PM
La Brujita La Brujita is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2003
Posts: 517
Default Re: confidence shot by bad beats - what to do?

I think you should have raised it up to 125 or so pre flop. I think it is a bit hard to avoid going broke this hand frankly.

When things are running really bad sometimes people overlook the huge benefits of taking time off, exercising and getting the mind away from poker.

When you are losing poker is not fun and if you are playing it as a recreational activity you should take time off until it becomes fun again. If you are playing poker as a money making venture you should consider that it is a very difficult game to win when you are not playing your best.

I try to play a maximum of five days a week. BTW this is my day off but I am hanging around this site so I would be well served reading my advice this post.

Just my two cents.

Best regards
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  #3  
Old 06-17-2004, 01:01 AM
SparkMan SparkMan is offline
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Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 45
Default Re: confidence shot by bad beats - what to do?

I used to play the $10+1 level at paradise and had good success. The strategy that I used in most SnG tournaments at this level was: Up to and including the 15/30 blind round just see the flop for cheap and play it strong if you flop a big hand, there's no shortage of loose calls. If there is already a raise and you have AA or KK narrow the field with an oversized raise. If your in the blind with JJ or QQ consider going all-in if you think its the best. If you only raise 50 as in the case you described your likely to get a bunch of callers and your UTG. In the middle rounds 30/60 50/100 play as tough as nails. When it hits 200 blind you have to open it up and steal antes or go all-in with any hand you play(with a stack up to 2000). When it gets to 500 or 1000 blind just play percentages. 67s is only a 3-2 against AKo. With loose action you can expect to get a bad streak of up to 20 games where you're struggling to make the money. It will all even out in the long run.
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  #4  
Old 06-17-2004, 01:07 AM
Profit Profit is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 40
Default Re: confidence shot by bad beats - what to do?

did you happen to watch the WPT tonite. Daniel negranue (butchered that i know) commented on the hi's and low's of poker. Where at one time every thing you do is correct and you are getting cards, the next session everything goes wrong and you start to question if you really know how to play this game. THis is coming from a successful poker professional and is something that i would imagine every card player goes through.
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  #5  
Old 06-17-2004, 01:22 AM
SparkMan SparkMan is offline
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Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 45
Default Re: confidence shot by bad beats - what to do?

I don't get the travel channel. I know from personal experience that I've gone as long as a month (playing 6 to 8 hours a day) where almost every time you get your stack in with the best of it you get drawn out. And after a while you're only putting it all-in in spots where you know you've got the best of it. But that's a rare streak. It's happened twice in ten years of B&amp;M play. Mostly no-limit
7 card hi-lo , which was the most popular game on Vancouver Island at that time.
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  #6  
Old 06-17-2004, 02:03 AM
eastbay eastbay is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 647
Default Re: confidence shot by bad beats - what to do?

[ QUOTE ]
After finishing in the money 40% of the time in my first 40 SNG's I haven't had a top 3 for 8 SNG's now. Been busted or crippled by people calling all in with draws/nothing and catching miracles. Feeling like I am turning into a calling station, which sucks. I know bad beats are part of the game but a week straight, how do you recover? Bank roll is taking a beating. I've even moved down in buy-in's.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is nothing unusual and your best remedy is simply to get used to it and accept the idea that every time you get drawn out on, you've made $EV... it just happens to be on loan at the moment.

Your bankroll needs to be able to absorb such swings. It sounds as if you may be underbankrolled but you haven't discussed any $ figures. If 8 losses in a row is straining your bankroll, you are probably playing way out of range.

eastbay
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  #7  
Old 06-17-2004, 03:08 AM
pzhon pzhon is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 66
Default Re: confidence shot by bad beats - what to do?

[ QUOTE ]
After finishing in the money 40% of the time in my first 40 SNG's I haven't had a top 3 for 8 SNG's now.

[/ QUOTE ]

That is not a surprisingly long streak even if the 40% ITM from the first 40 is typical. You don't have much data, but you placed in the money 16/48 times, which is not much above random. Are you sure you are a winning player? Maybe you just had a lucky streak at first.

[ QUOTE ]
... I know bad beats are part of the game but a week straight, how do you recover? Bank roll is taking a beating. I've even moved down in buy-in's. Here's an example hand. Got to know if I should do something different. Is there any way to keep people with these hands from calling a bet....maybe just go all-in? Any way I put him on that kind of a hand after calling a big pre-flop raise?

Big Blind is t20 (9 handed)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. Hero posts a blind of t10.
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls t20, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, MP3 folds, CO folds, Button calls t20, <font color="CC3333">Hero (poster) raises to t70</font>, BB calls t50, UTG+1 calls t50, Button calls t50.

Flop: (t280) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(4 players)</font>
<font color="CC3333">Hero bets t200</font>, BB folds, UTG+1 folds, Button calls t200.

Turn: (t680) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(2 players)</font>
<font color="CC3333">Hero bets t605 (all-in)</font>, Button calls t605.

River: (t1890) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(2 players)</font>

Hero shows Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (two pair, queens and sevens).
Button shows 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (full house, sevens full of sixes).
Outcome: Button wins t1890.

[/ QUOTE ]

[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] You didn't make a large preflop raise. You made a nuisance raise. The size of your raise should depend on the number of people already in the pot. With two limpers, making everyone call an extra 2.5 BB is not a large raise. Make it 100 if you want people to take the raise seriously. This isn't limit hold'em.

[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] This was not a bad beat. In a bad beat, the bulk of the chips go in when you are the favorite. Here, the button put in 70 chips when you were the favorite, and 805 when you were a big underdog. You overbet your pair. This is probably a serious leak in your game, yet you call it a bad beat? Accept responsibility for your mistakes.

[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Since you didn't make a large bet preflop, you can't assume much about the button's hand. Ok, then you made a substantial bet on the flop. The button called. This means something. The button probably has an overpair or hit the flop (possibly with a draw; a flush draw and an OESD are possible). So, exactly why did you push on the turn? What better hands do you think will fold, or what worse hands do you think will call?

[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Did you think about your bad position? Did you consider trying to check-raise the flop instead of betting out? If you play the same way postflop from the blinds as you do from late position, you are playing badly in at least one location.

You need to work on your game. When you improve, your results will almost certainly improve.
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  #8  
Old 06-17-2004, 09:02 AM
Phill S Phill S is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Nr Manchester, England
Posts: 255
Default Re: confidence shot by bad beats - what to do?

i second it absolutely

having played for a couple of years, since just after turning 18, i can tell you that you will go on losing streaks. recently i took a BIG one. nothing went right and i questioned my ability.

it was after this i started analysing my game more closely, win per hour, win per tourney, ITM, ROI the usual. basicly watching myself closly like this improved my game. i learnt the details of my play. it instilled confidence and turned my play.

all you can do is hang in there, just record your play. if you truly cant win, then work on your game. but we all go through bad spells, it happens, its how you deal with them that sets you apart.
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  #9  
Old 06-17-2004, 09:39 AM
Sam T. Sam T. is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: St Louis, MO
Posts: 160
Default Re: confidence shot by bad beats - what to do?

I would suggest taking a couple of days off, rereading TOP and TPFAP, etc. I find that studying not only improves my game, but (perhaps more importantly) increases my confidence becaue I know most of the people at the table don't do it.
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  #10  
Old 06-17-2004, 10:27 AM
mikey checks mikey checks is offline
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Posts: 87
Default Re: confidence shot by bad beats - what to do?

The bad play here other than incorrectly raising was not respecting the call on the flop.

The turn puts the hand at a GS-SD....I wouldve been real concerned about the straight
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