What do y'all think of my Bengals bet?

[Q8offsuit]

The Bengals: an amazing 8-8 last year.

I bet my buddy a chunk of change on the under for this season- they will do worse. A winning or a .500 season and I lose.

Good bet? After their mauling of New England's defense last night I'm -slightly- worried. But, it is the Bungles after all.
I'm figuring no way does this team break .500 with a brutal schedule and a rookie QB.