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  #11  
Old 08-08-2005, 08:27 PM
MickeyHoldem MickeyHoldem is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 26
Default Re: Number of hand combinations

Yes... thank-you... I calculated something else.... maybe you could check it....

The over/under for seeing a particular hand.
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  #12  
Old 08-08-2005, 10:10 PM
BruceZ BruceZ is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 1,636
Default Re: Number of hand combinations

[ QUOTE ]
Yes... thank-you... I calculated something else.... maybe you could check it....

The over/under for seeing a particular hand.

[/ QUOTE ]

To have a 50% chance of seeing a particular hand, you need 8.36 * 10^36 hands or 2.65 * 10^29 years.

If N is the number of hands, then

[(N-1)/N]^n = (1 - 1/N)^n = (1 - 1/N)^(N*n/N) =~ exp(-n/N) = 0.5

n = -N*ln(0.5) =~ -(1.21 * 10^37)*(-0.693)

= 8.36 * 10^36 hands or 2.65 * 10^29 years.
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  #13  
Old 08-08-2005, 11:36 PM
astarck astarck is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 55s
Posts: 470
Default Re: Number of hand combinations

[ QUOTE ]
Now getting any hand twice wouldn't take nearly as long.

[/ QUOTE ]

Does this mean that you will be far more likely to get duplicate hands in your search for a specific hand, but not THE specific hand in question?
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  #14  
Old 08-09-2005, 01:57 AM
BruceZ BruceZ is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 1,636
Default Re: Number of hand combinations

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Now getting any hand twice wouldn't take nearly as long.

[/ QUOTE ]

Does this mean that you will be far more likely to get duplicate hands in your search for a specific hand, but not THE specific hand in question?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes. It's like the birthday problem. You need an average of 365 people before you find one that shares your birthday, but you only need 23 people to have a 50% chance that any two people share a birthday.

It should still take an astronomical amount of time to get a match. I'll work that out later.
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  #15  
Old 08-09-2005, 02:46 AM
MagicMan08 MagicMan08 is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Minnesota
Posts: 300
Default Re: Number of hand combinations

I wish i took more math, maybe i should.
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