#1
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QQ against PF 3-bettor on AAx flop: WA/WB?
On the flop, I go into WA/WB mode instinctively even though I capped pre-flop. Villain was sLA-A so I put him on {AA-JJ, AK} for sure, and {AQ,TT,99} at about 50% probability of a 3-bet. He once PFR from UTG and Bet/Folded a K73 flop (I took this to mean the was capable of folding a PP with an overcard on board to aggression).
So on the flop, there are: 8 combos of AK 1 AA 6 KK 50% * 4 AQ = 2 AQ vs. 6 JJ 50% * 6 TT = 3 TT 50% * 6 99 = 3 99 So ahead of 12 and behind 17. During the hand, the turn K actually scared me into checking the river, but looking back at the hand, the turn K actually HELPS me because it lowers the # of combinations that I'm behind and doesn't affect the hands I'm ahead of, right?. So take away 3 combos of KK and 2 of AK and now it's 50/50 whether I'm ahead or behind. So should the river be a Bet/Call? Bet/Fold? He has never called on the turn or river in about 30 hands at that point (too small of a sample?). Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (8 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. UTG posts a blind of $1. <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 3-bets</font>, <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero caps</font>, MP2 calls. Flop: (9.50 SB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 bets</font>, Hero calls. Turn: (5.75 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 bets</font>, Hero calls. River: (7.75 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero ???</font> |
#2
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Re: QQ against PF 3-bettor on AAx flop: WA/WB?
I have to lead the flop, if called I lead the turn also. If I get raised on the turn, I'm folding. If my flop bet is raised, I get mad, call the raise and check-fold the turn.
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#3
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Re: QQ against PF 3-bettor on AAx flop: WA/WB?
Why not lead the flop?
I like the above line of folding to a raise on the turn. |
#4
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Re: QQ against PF 3-bettor on AAx flop: WA/WB?
I think you have to fold the turn here
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#5
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Re: QQ against PF 3-bettor on AAx flop: WA/WB?
What changed on the turn that we should fold?
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#6
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Re: QQ against PF 3-bettor on AAx flop: WA/WB?
The king
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#7
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Re: QQ against PF 3-bettor on AAx flop: WA/WB?
Um, doesn't the King improve my hand? Read my post again... any of his possible hands that had Kings in them were already ahead of me, so seeing a King just means that they're less likely.
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#8
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Re: QQ against PF 3-bettor on AAx flop: WA/WB?
I think your original hand distribution is too narrow. You don't think villain 3-bets with KQ? Maybe even KJ? That's not SLAG, that's superrock.
Edit: Who dey |
#9
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Re: QQ against PF 3-bettor on AAx flop: WA/WB?
Hero didn't give a percentage, but it is quite uncommon to see KQ in a 3betting range. I think we can safely disregard KJ.
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#10
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Re: QQ against PF 3-bettor on AAx flop: WA/WB?
I might checkraise the flop. Hand plays differently after that. If three bet I fold. If called I check the turn, threatening a checkraise. If MP bets I fold.
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