River decision

[mcvalenc]

Sat down recently, SB is unknown

Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (6 max, 6 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB 3-bets</font>, BB calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero caps</font>, SB calls, BB calls.

Flop: (12 SB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, SB calls, BB calls.

Turn: (7.50 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks.

River: (7.50 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, BB folds, Hero...

[imported_leader]

I'd raise. He would certainly call with a worse hand. I don't know what to do if he 3-bets you.

[Lost Wages]

It's a 2 for 1 proposition. If you raise then he knows that you have exactly one pair of aces, probably AK since you capped preflop (you would have bet the turn with AQ). Thus you win 1 extra bet when ahead (or 0 if he folds) and lose 2 when behind, assuming that you call a 3 bet. I think that you would have to call a 3 bet since from his perspective he can safely reraise with AK.

Of course, all this assumes that he's a thinking player which is a dangerous assumption. I raise/call.

Lost Wages

[mungpo]

Raise the river.