Another Paired Board, Another Botch-a-Rama

[zeitgeist]

Very early in tournament (2nd level); consequently no read on villain.

Bugsysclub $10+1 No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t100 (9 handed)

CO (9,150)
Button (19,875)
SB (9,175)
BB (2,600)
UTG (9,550)
UTG+1 (19,350)
Hero (10,075)
MP1 (10,300)
MP2 (9,925)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+2 with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
SB posts a blind of t50.
BB posts a blind of t100.
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises 300 to 400</font>, MP1 calls 400, <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>.

Flop: (t950) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t425</font>, MP1 calls t425.

(I meant to bet 1/2 the pot here. Gotta learn arithmetic someday.)

Turn: (t1800) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t900</font>, MP1 raises t1725 to 2,625, <font color="#CC3333">Hero...?

[burgi]

you can fold that. I'm pretty sure that he has a Q. But, with a paired board like that, I would also not have bet out on the turn. But, your flop bet is ok. Would have done that as well.

[locutus2002]

I think you can fold this.

Hero could very easily have a Q here, so I don't think villain is putting a move on. If that is the case then what can villain call PF and ATF. Any Q, 88, I don't think he plays any other 8 for so many chips. Maybe a pp but I don't think he raises the turn, when further action is going to commit his stack.

[zeitgeist]

Thanks for the comments guys. Yeah, like an idiot I called it (and a modest river bet as well), and he had KQs. Paired boards remain my biggest leak, I think. Either that or being unable to let go of overpairs when it's starting to look like they're no good.