AA vs Huge Stack, what do you do?

unlucky513 · #1 03-14-2005, 12:55 PM

Party Poker $100 NL 6 Max
no reads yet, i've only been at the table for about 10 hands. villain has about $450, so i think he's a solid player.

i'm dealt red aces in the SB, folded around to me. i make it $5 to go. BB calls. pot is about $11
flop comes K 7 2 (2 hearts).
i bet out $15, UTG+2 raises to $50.

Hero...

Whats your move?

tbach24 · #2 03-14-2005, 12:58 PM

Push him in. There's basically no fold equity and his range of hand is WAY higher than a set.

schwza · #3 03-14-2005, 12:59 PM

i would push.

i know everybody says you're not supposed to go broke with unimproved AA in 100x games, but it's got to be different when you're playing a battle of the blinds. you would raise a very wide range here, so he would be very reasonable to think his KJ is the best hand.

[ QUOTE ]
villain has about $450, so i think he's a solid player.

[/ QUOTE ]

i put very little weight on that.

soah · #4 03-14-2005, 12:59 PM

Don't overbet the pot with one pair. Nothing good can possibly come from that.

Ghazban · #5 03-14-2005, 01:01 PM

[ QUOTE ]
has about $450, so i think he's a solid player.

[/ QUOTE ]

I hate this inference. Maybe he's a total fish who got lucky 5 minutes before you sat down. I agree with the other poster who said push it all in for the same reasons he gave.

meow_meow · #6 03-14-2005, 01:16 PM

I was going to say fold, but I don't like the size of his bet. It's really too big. Putting myself in his place, there is no holding I make this bet with, because of OPs stack size. So maybe villain isn't so solid after all.
That said, maybe you can narrow him down to a set or AK. You are a 56/44 dog against that range. The fact that you hold Ah really reduced the probablility that he's betting the flush draw.
Guess it depends whether you feel like gambling here....

sting · #7 03-14-2005, 01:17 PM

If hero pushed, it would not be an overbet. By my account (assuming he started with $100 - a logical inference from his statement that he had not been there long) he could not have more than about $40 left. A reraise of that into what is now a $100 plus pot isn't an overbet.

Pushing with a single pair unimproved is another question. I think it is much more than likely that Hero has the best hand. 2 pair is unlikely. there are 3 possible sets. Aside from those hands, Villain may try to bully out of the big blind with AK through KT, JJ, QQ, TT, 99 etc. . .

For those reasons, I think the reraise is in order.
Are you arguing for a fold? If not, it seems the rest of the money is going in on the turn and river anyway. I say get it in now because it's likely he's ahead.

soah · #8 03-14-2005, 01:25 PM

Betting $15 into a $10 pot is an overbet. (And it's not an $11 pot like he claims. $5 + $5 = $10)

perfectm · #9 03-14-2005, 01:27 PM

I agree with the push because of the reasons stated. You don't have much more left in your stack, and outside of a set I doubt you are behind. You could be behind 2 pair, but I think he has a pair of Kings and a flush draw and he is playing big stack poker trying to bully you out.

(you didnt say which two of the board cards were hearts but if the king isnt one of them, this is what I think. If not, I would have to re-evaluate)

unlucky513 · #10 03-14-2005, 02:23 PM

I pushed, villain calls.

turn: 10club
river: 10spade

villain shows 77, 7's full of tens.

i lose

i overbet the pot on the flop because i wanted to end it and take it down there. when he re-raised me, i thought he was on a flush draw and playing big stack poker. i couldn't fold to that board. could you?