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  #11  
Old 12-16-2005, 03:58 PM
DeathDonkey DeathDonkey is offline
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Default Re: 3 handed AQ

I would bet this river, but Jeff W says its awful, so hopefully I'll learn something from this thread. I guess if you bet here you are betting a board pairing card also since you think he might call with worse ace high. Hmm.

-DeathDonkey
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  #12  
Old 12-16-2005, 04:11 PM
Jeff W Jeff W is offline
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Default Re: 3 handed AQ

[ QUOTE ]
I would bet this river, but Jeff W says its awful, so hopefully I'll learn something from this thread.

[/ QUOTE ]

At best, we're exactly 50:50 against his range:

Board: 2c 3d 4h Ks 8s
equity (%)
50% { QQ-77, AQs-A7s, AQo-A8o }
50% { AQo }

Thus, there is no positive expectation to this bet unless he calls with hands worse than Ace high and it could drop deeply into negative expectation if he caps 66-55, A4s-A2s or other hands that hit this board pre flop or if he backs down with a King to the turn raise.
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  #13  
Old 12-16-2005, 04:35 PM
DeathDonkey DeathDonkey is offline
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Default Re: 3 handed AQ

Wow nevermind my previous post. For some reason I read the initial post and thought we paired on the river. I don't know how I thought that but my bet the river idea was tied to us rivering 66-55 etc. that you mention.

-DeathDonkey
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