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  #11  
Old 10-18-2002, 04:26 PM
Homer Homer is offline
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Default Re: Would You Walk Barry Bonds?

I assumed it takes two singles to get him home, although this might not be right under the circumstances presented. In a normal situation, it will typically take two singles, but with the score tied in the bottom of the ninth, the outfield will be drawn in, so a single is less likely to get the winning run home, I think. However, the probably of getting a hit will increase (because any long fly ball will now be a hit) too, so (probability of getting a hit) * (probability of run scoring given a hit) probably stays close to constant (just a guess)...now I'm rambling. In any event, I would just assume two for this problem, unless you want to start to make things more complicated for yourself. [img]/forums/images/icons/grin.gif[/img]
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  #12  
Old 10-18-2002, 05:04 PM
Bob T. Bob T. is offline
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Default Re: Would You Walk Barry Bonds?

NO
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  #13  
Old 10-18-2002, 07:55 PM
bad beetz bad beetz is offline
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Default Walk him

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  #14  
Old 10-18-2002, 10:15 PM
Zeno Zeno is offline
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Default Re: Would You Walk Barry Bonds?

NO!

(I might, however, change the pitcher). [img]/forums/images/icons/wink.gif[/img]

-Zeno
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  #15  
Old 10-18-2002, 10:17 PM
Trefo Trefo is offline
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Default Re: Would You Walk Barry Bonds?

I'd walk him.
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  #16  
Old 10-18-2002, 10:30 PM
BruceZ BruceZ is offline
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Default Re: Would You Walk Barry Bonds?

You should walk him only if he will successfuly steal less than 36% of the time.
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