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#1
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Bond option trade
I almost got these done today,missed by a tick. June bond options. Buy 5 94/95 put spreads and sell 1 96 put for 2 credit.This is a must do trade. |
#2
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glad you\'re back [img]/images/smile.gif[/img] *NM*
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#3
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Re: glad you\'re back [img]/images/smile.gif[/img]
Thanks,any thought regarding the option trade? |
#4
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I like it, I guess...
I'm bullish on the CBOE Vix here so, by deduction, I'm bearish on stocks. And I'm also bullish on oil. So, in some weird way, although I am bearish on bonds, I don't expect them to just go into freefall, but rather to be choppy with a ceiling. My thoughts are 1) your play seems a little convoluted - not unlike your reaction to my CPN contraption, 2) I like it in general just because the credit, though 96 seems a little close going out to June, but I assume it has plenty of premium, and 3) I think the 94/95 spread is just right, given the time left and the current price. I think we'll see 96, maybe a little lower, and a lot of chop. eLROY |
#5
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Re: I like it, I guess...
You do understand I would be long 5 95/94 put spreads for each short 96 put? I tried to do these packages for 2 tick credit and could have done them flat..I might have done them flat if I was on the floor but too much slippage from home. On an expiration basis I lose below 91,homerun is at 94.I don't think we will free fall either. Also if there is an "event" it is possible the bonds could stabilze or take off. |
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