Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > Other Topics > The Stock Market
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 03-20-2002, 04:31 PM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Bond option trade



I almost got these done today,missed by a tick.

June bond options.

Buy 5 94/95 put spreads and sell 1 96 put for 2

credit.This is a must do trade.


Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 03-20-2002, 04:32 PM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default glad you\'re back [img]/images/smile.gif[/img] *NM*




Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 03-20-2002, 04:37 PM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: glad you\'re back [img]/images/smile.gif[/img]



Thanks,any thought regarding the option trade?
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 03-20-2002, 04:45 PM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default I like it, I guess...



I'm bullish on the CBOE Vix here so, by deduction, I'm bearish on stocks.


And I'm also bullish on oil.


So, in some weird way, although I am bearish on bonds, I don't expect them to just go into freefall, but rather to be choppy with a ceiling.


My thoughts are


1) your play seems a little convoluted - not unlike your reaction to my CPN contraption,


2) I like it in general just because the credit, though 96 seems a little close going out to June, but I assume it has plenty of premium, and


3) I think the 94/95 spread is just right, given the time left and the current price.


I think we'll see 96, maybe a little lower, and a lot of chop.


eLROY
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 03-20-2002, 05:17 PM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: I like it, I guess...



You do understand I would be long 5 95/94 put spreads for each short 96 put? I tried to do these

packages for 2 tick credit and could have done them flat..I might have done them flat if I was on the floor but too much slippage from home.

On an expiration basis I lose below 91,homerun is

at 94.I don't think we will free fall either.

Also if there is an "event" it is possible the bonds could stabilze or take off.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 02:31 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.