Mason's Bunching Part II

[PairTheBoard]

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The article is very interesting, but what I find surprising is the idea to fold 3-3 to a raise from the button. In my opinion the chance that the button tries to steal the blinds should outweigh any considerations about bunching easliy. In many cases you don't have to improve 3-3 to win and if the flop comes small, you can even think about check-raising. Depends on the player on the button of course.

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There's two points about it that are debatable. Does the small drop in odds to hit the set change the play from +EV to -EV?

And is there really such a bunching effect? When 7 players fold to the button Mason does not think this makes the remaining deck significantly richer in high cards than normal. But he does think it makes the remaining deck significantly sparser in small cards like 3's than normal. I would like to see results of simulations for Mason's hypothesis before changing my play based on the idea.

PairTheBoard