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#1
08-02-2005, 01:44 PM
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board shows nut straight, opponent all-in
HERO holds 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img],K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
PRE-FLOP Four limpers, plus SB, and BB. FLOP [board cards Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img],A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img],10[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]] SB bets $0.50, BB folds, UTG calls, HERO calls, Rest fold. TURN [board cards Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img],A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img],10[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img],J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ] SB bets $0.50, UTG calls, HERO bets $5, SB calls $4.50, UTG folds. RIVER [board cards Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img],A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img],10[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img],J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img],K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ] SB bets $43.40 and is all-in, Hero folds. I am correct in folding here, right? At best I split and there is non-zero probability of a runner runner flush (or even straight flush). 
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#3
08-02-2005, 01:48 PM
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Re: board shows nut straight, opponent all-in
It is a good exercise to see how often you need to be splitting to make this a call.
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#4
08-02-2005, 01:52 PM
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Re: board shows nut straight, opponent all-in
By SB's line, I don't think he has the flush. Would he play Q [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] this way? Wouldn't he check the turn and fold to a big bet? Looks more like a frustrated flopped straight.
Anyway, the real issue is that the pot is not $2, it's like $12. So you are giving away the $5 you bet on the turn. If you can live with that, fine, but it's not nothing. I probably fold here because I am weak-tight, but I think calling could very well be right. I mean why would someone who made a straight flush bet like that? Why not value bet and get some callers? Why would a flush play it like that?
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#5
08-02-2005, 01:55 PM
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Re: board shows nut straight, opponent all-in
[ QUOTE ]
Why would a flush play it like that? [/ QUOTE ] To make it look like a steal.
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#6
08-02-2005, 01:58 PM
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Re: board shows nut straight, opponent all-in
Why would the SB have played two clubs that way? What do you put him on?
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#7
08-02-2005, 02:00 PM
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Re: board shows nut straight, opponent all-in
SB probably has two hearts or a weak ace. I'm probably calling here.
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#8
08-02-2005, 02:02 PM
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Re: board shows nut straight, opponent all-in
[ QUOTE ]
SB probably has two hearts or a weak ace. I'm probably calling here. [/ QUOTE ] Exactly, if this were another one of the players, I can fold. But why would the SB lead out and play this hand this way? It really doesn't make sense that he has clubs...
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#9
08-02-2005, 02:54 PM
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Re: board shows nut straight, opponent all-in
The only clubs hand I could see is Qx clubs (x lower than 10). I think he might play that hand this way
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#10
08-02-2005, 05:17 PM
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Re: board shows nut straight, opponent all-in
I was almost certain that we would have split. The spade flush just didn't make sense. BUT is it worth risking $43 to win $6 (after accounting for rake) from the split? I don't think so.
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