ICM/SNGPT rambling thoughts(long)

[AliasMrJones]

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i've said i think .5 is a good guidepost

but there are times when .5 should be folded...remember, when it calculates u being called, it just calculates your static icm after the results based on probabilities...it doesnt take into consideration that being called with 27o is much worse than being called by kk in terms of future ev and table image

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On the other hand, if you are called with 27o, you either lose and are probably out, or double up, which means you may not be pushing for a while/aren't the short stack any more/have people outchipped/etc. Again, I think there may be some impact, but I think it is far less than you are implying.