#1
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AA on a 3 flush / 3 connected flop
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) converter
Vilain as been playing good TAG so far, but I have raised him every time he limpped in the last hour. I just happenned to have good hands but he must be getting tired of it and I must have a LAG image to him. MP3 ($10.30) CO ($28.55) Button ($30.35) SB ($8.25) BB ($19.90) UTG ($55.70) UTG+1 ($52.10) MP1 ($12.40) Hero ($124.05) Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls $0.50, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2.5</font>, <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, UTG+1 calls $2. Flop: ($5.75) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $4.5</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 raises to $49.6</font> Now what? This is a HUGE overbet. I can only see him having a set, or a total bluff. Big PP whit a [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] are unlikely since he did'nt raise preflop. Also, would'nt it be better for him to try and milk me whit a flopped flush? vs a set: Nut flush draw and gutshot wheels draw plus one of the remaining A saves me. That's a lot of outs but the price is really step to pay. But I do have the feeling he could be on a move because of my image. Do I call here? -Happy [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img] |
#2
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Re: AA on a 3 flush / 3 connected flop
If he has the flush you only have 7 outs, not 9 - keep that in mind.
His move is clearly stupid if he doesn't have the flush (though it's bad if he does have it, unless it's a small one). I think this is a clear fold, but I'd need to double check the math. However, you're capable of doing this yourself as well =). |
#3
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RESULTS
I called, mostly becaus of the image he has of me. I would have folded most of the time here.
He had 77 no [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] and I toke it down -Happy [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img] |
#4
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Re: AA on a 3 flush / 3 connected flop
As long as you're properly bankrolled, you call this. If you're behind a set, you have outs to catch up. If you're behind a flush, you have outs to catch up.
Look at what your opponent is telling you. The bet screams "don't call me, LAG, I've got something this time". This makes sense with a set fearing flush draw. The bet also makes sense with a flush draw, an overpair, or a frustration bluff. Given your opponents range of hands, you'll be ahead far more often than you'll be behind. |
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