Toronto-Washington UNDER

hoping this a great pick as it's "local knowledge" at start of the year, which is usually good for a few games.

washington -2 @ toronto 201 O/U

toronto scored alot last year but was horrendous defensively.

now we've moved rafer and lost donyell (and lamond) all of whom put up alot of 3's and our team was reasonably success at it)... should be alot more focus on getting the ball inside to bosh and villanueva for 2 pointers.... so i think we'll be alot lower scoring.

on defense, rafer is gone, mike james and calderon take over, both of whom are good defensively and focus on it. last year, we gave up alot of joke baskets. don't think it was all rafer's fault but a PG defensive breakdown leads to breakdowns elsewhere. we still have Jalen Rose who is horrible. but we've picked up joey graham who plays aggressive D and mo pete is excellent defender..

so i think the UNDER 201 is pretty good bet. it's taking the #'s from last year for start of this year. also, antonio daniels in for larry hughes = worse offense, better defense???

any thoughts??